{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-34SYT4T2T1",
  "slug": "kxiranembassy-27",
  "question": "Will the United States reopen its embassy in Iran?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-iran-relations",
    "diplomatic-reopening",
    "embassy-operations",
    "middle-east-politics",
    "2026-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether the United States will reestablish a formal embassy presence in Iran. Both markets are Kalshi binary outcomes; they differ only in deadline, September 1, 2026 versus January 1, 2027. The nearer contract prices a tighter window; the farther contract prices a broader one. Kalshi staff determination draws on New York Times reporting to confirm any qualifying diplomatic reopening.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8S79CZ3709",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.06,
    "implied_probability": 0.06
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-00QZ2D7ZN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-34SYT4T2T1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIRANEMBASSY-27-26SEP",
      "question": "Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Sep 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before September 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before September 2026: Kalshi staff determination based on reporting by The New York Times confirms whether the listed diplomatic facility reopens before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 31.428,
      "volume_total_usd": 1278.1214,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "embassy",
        "iran",
        "us embassy reopening",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8S79CZ3709",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-34SYT4T2T1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIRANEMBASSY-27",
      "question": "Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before 2027: Kalshi staff determination based on reporting by The New York Times confirms whether the listed diplomatic facility reopens before January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 29.479799999999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 11292.142199999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "diplomacy",
        "embassy",
        "iran",
        "us embassy reopening",
        "usa"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-34SYT4T2T1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}