{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DHTJ7K1463",
  "slug": "kxisraelknesset-26",
  "question": "Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "israeli-politics",
    "legislative-elections",
    "knesset",
    "2027",
    "parliamentary-government"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the next Israeli legislative election, resolving by October 27, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as parallel binary contracts, one per party, covering Likud, Yesh Atid, National Unity, Bennett 2026, Yashar, and Together. Each contract resolves via Kalshi staff determination against the Central Elections Committee of Israel's official results and government formation announcement. Cross-party pricing across all six contracts should sum to roughly 100%, offering an implicit probability distribution over the competitive field.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4G5VT53SL4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.53,
    "implied_probability": 0.53
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4G5VT53SL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DHTJ7K1463",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELKNESSET-26-LIK",
      "question": "Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Likud",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Likud: The Central Elections Committee of Israel's official election results and government formation announcement by October 27, 2026 determine which listed party wins the most seats.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 21.200000000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 9675.3991,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "israel",
        "likud",
        "party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4CLKSGFJM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DHTJ7K1463",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELKNESSET-26-YATI",
      "question": "Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Yesh Atid",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Yesh Atid: The Central Elections Committee of Israel's official election results and government formation announcement by October 27, 2026 determine which listed party wins the most seats.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Yesh Atid, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.095,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BTJHJ599S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DHTJ7K1463",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELKNESSET-26-NUNI",
      "question": "Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "National Unity",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "National Unity: The Central Elections Committee of Israel's official election results and government formation announcement by October 27, 2026 determine which listed party wins the most seats.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is National Unity, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.64,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "israel",
        "national unity",
        "party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-08THD0GR63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DHTJ7K1463",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELKNESSET-26-BEN",
      "question": "Will Bennett 2026 win the next Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Bennett 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bennett 2026: The Central Elections Committee of Israel's official election results and government formation announcement by October 27, 2026 determine which listed party wins the most seats.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Bennett 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 384.03400000000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "election",
        "israel",
        "party"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1H01CC74G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DHTJ7K1463",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELKNESSET-26-YAS",
      "question": "Will Yashar win the next Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Yashar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Yashar: The Central Elections Committee of Israel's official election results and government formation announcement by October 27, 2026 determine which listed party wins the most seats.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Yashar, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.",
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        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1389.6945,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "party",
        "yashar"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VY3G5D0XW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DHTJ7K1463",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELKNESSET-26-TOGE",
      "question": "Will Together win the next Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Together",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Together: The Central Elections Committee of Israel's official election results and government formation announcement by October 27, 2026 determine which listed party wins the most seats.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Together, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
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        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "official electoral commission",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 539.123,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "israel",
        "party",
        "together"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DHTJ7K1463",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}