{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
  "slug": "kxisraelpm-26oct27",
  "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "israeli-politics",
    "prime-minister",
    "2027-election",
    "coalition-formation",
    "netanyahu"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate will serve as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 legislative election. Kalshi lists 18 named candidates as separate binary contracts, each resolved by Kalshi staff determination. The Knesset's post-election coalition formation determines the outcome, not the election result alone. Resolution is set for October 27, 2027, reflecting time required for government formation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LNM46Z3F58",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.38,
    "implied_probability": 0.38
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LNM46Z3F58",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BNET",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Benjamin Netanyahu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Benjamin Netanyahu: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion:\n\nThe person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention.\nThey must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government.\nThe appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election.\n\nServing as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nSpecial situations:\n\nIf no government forms by the deadline, all markets resolve to No except \"No one\" if that option exists.\nIf new elections are called before government formation, markets resolve immediately.\nFor rotating arrangements, the first person to meet all criteria resolves to Yes.\nIf the person leading a party dies before taking office, their market resolves to last fair price and their successor may resolve to Yes.\nMarkets for persons not explicitly listed resolve to \"Other\" if that option exists.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office of the head of state of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.38,
      "implied_probability": 0.38,
      "volume_24h_usd": 829.2626,
      "volume_total_usd": 14440.3648,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "benjamin netanyahu",
        "israel",
        "pm"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4VY5N13N20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-NBEN",
      "question": "Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Naftali Bennett",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Naftali Bennett: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion:\n\nThe person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention.\nThey must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government.\nThe appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election.\n\nServing as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nSpecial situations:\n\nIf no government forms by the deadline, all markets resolve to No except \"No one\" if that option exists.\nIf new elections are called before government formation, markets resolve immediately.\nFor rotating arrangements, the first person to meet all criteria resolves to Yes.\nIf the person leading a party dies before taking office, their market resolves to last fair price and their successor may resolve to Yes.\nMarkets for persons not explicitly listed resolve to \"Other\" if that option exists.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office of the head of state of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.879999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 1554.7379999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "israel",
        "naftali bennett",
        "pm"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96X6TM9LH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-GEIZ",
      "question": "Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Gadi Eizenkot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gadi Eizenkot: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion:\n\nThe person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention.\nThey must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government.\nThe appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election.\n\nServing as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nSpecial situations:\n\nIf no government forms by the deadline, all markets resolve to No except \"No one\" if that option exists.\nIf new elections are called before government formation, markets resolve immediately.\nFor rotating arrangements, the first person to meet all criteria resolves to Yes.\nIf the person leading a party dies before taking office, their market resolves to last fair price and their successor may resolve to Yes.\nMarkets for persons not explicitly listed resolve to \"Other\" if that option exists.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office of the head of state of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 297.33000000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 5120.5314,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gadi eizenkot",
        "israel",
        "pm"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G3D8XSSHQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-YLAP",
      "question": "Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Yair Lapid",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Yair Lapid: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Yair Lapid becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion:\n\nThe person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention.\nThey must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government.\nThe appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election.\n\nServing as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nSpecial situations:\n\nIf no government forms by the deadline, all markets resolve to No except \"No one\" if that option exists.\nIf new elections are called before government formation, markets resolve immediately.\nFor rotating arrangements, the first person to meet all criteria resolves to Yes.\nIf the person leading a party dies before taking office, their market resolves to last fair price and their successor may resolve to Yes.\nMarkets for persons not explicitly listed resolve to \"Other\" if that option exists.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.231,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "israel",
        "pm",
        "yair lapid"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-65B4PY6247",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BGAN",
      "question": "Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Benny Gantz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Benny Gantz: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Benny Gantz becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion:\n\nThe person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention.\nThey must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government.\nThe appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election.\n\nServing as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nSpecial situations:\n\nIf no government forms by the deadline, all markets resolve to No except \"No one\" if that option exists.\nIf new elections are called before government formation, markets resolve immediately.\nFor rotating arrangements, the first person to meet all criteria resolves to Yes.\nIf the person leading a party dies before taking office, their market resolves to last fair price and their successor may resolve to Yes.\nMarkets for persons not explicitly listed resolve to \"Other\" if that option exists.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
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