{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
  "slug": "kxisraelpm-26oct27",
  "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "israeli-politics",
    "prime-minister",
    "2026-election",
    "government-formation",
    "coalition-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate becomes Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 legislative election. Kalshi lists 18 named candidates as separate binary contracts. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination, referencing Knesset confirmation of the officeholder. Resolution is set for October 27, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LNM46Z3F58",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.28,
    "implied_probability": 0.28,
    "as_of": "2026-09-05T07:00:35.138Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LNM46Z3F58",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BNET",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Benjamin Netanyahu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Benjamin Netanyahu: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office of the head of state of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 70,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T07:00:35.138Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 113.15920000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 27177.147200000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "benjamin netanyahu",
        "israel",
        "pm"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4VY5N13N20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-NBEN",
      "question": "Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Naftali Bennett",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Naftali Bennett: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office of the head of state of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 70,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T05:00:33.736Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1070.545,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "israel",
        "naftali bennett",
        "pm"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96X6TM9LH5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-GEIZ",
      "question": "Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Gadi Eizenkot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gadi Eizenkot: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office of the head of state of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 70,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T05:00:33.736Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 203.01120000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 12011.2628,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gadi eizenkot",
        "israel",
        "pm"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G3D8XSSHQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-YLAP",
      "question": "Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Yair Lapid",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Yair Lapid: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Yair Lapid becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office of the head of state of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 70,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-18T17:01:10.116Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 14.046500000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "israel",
        "pm",
        "yair lapid"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-65B4PY6247",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BGAN",
      "question": "Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
      "description": "Benny Gantz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Benny Gantz: The parliament of the referenced country will determine whether the named candidate assumes the stated office, with resolution by October 27, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Benny Gantz becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).\n\nIf no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to \"No one\" immediately and No for all other strikes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "parliament or legislature of <country>",
            "url": "https://www.parliament.go.ke/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office of the head of state of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "major national news outlets of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://ft.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites of <country>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Guardian",
            "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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