{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
  "slug": "kxjudgecount-26jul",
  "question": "Will at least X federal judges be confirmed in July 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "federal-judges",
    "us-judicial-confirmations",
    "senate-confirmation",
    "2026",
    "monthly-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the count of federal judicial confirmations during July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as ten discrete binary strike thresholds, from at least 1 through at least 10 confirmations. Taken together, the strikes imply a probability distribution over the confirmation count. The Library of Congress serves as the authoritative data source, with Kalshi staff determining resolution by August 8, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4GBPJFL7X1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4GBPJFL7X1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-0",
      "question": "Will at least 1 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 1: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 0 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4257,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-47RF7MNMY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-1",
      "question": "Will at least 2 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 2: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 1 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1980.99,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BF2D3KYSQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-2",
      "question": "Will at least 3 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 3: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 2 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1667.9124,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYY0133TM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-3",
      "question": "Will at least 4 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 4",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 4: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 3 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1852.6166999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VRJNGZL579",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-4",
      "question": "Will at least 5 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 5",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 5: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 4 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2168.1,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KN4T3546F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-5",
      "question": "Will at least 6 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 6",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 6: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 5 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 14, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.0099,
      "volume_total_usd": 1097.9198999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X7T16CHCF7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-6",
      "question": "Will at least 7 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 7",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 7: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 6 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 14, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.0099,
      "volume_total_usd": 2710.6299000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-15Y0RKHWT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-7",
      "question": "Will at least 8 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 8",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 8: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 7 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 14, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 45.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 2893.2885,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FMD3SZKZ64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-8",
      "question": "Will at least 9 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 9",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 9: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 8 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 21, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.38,
      "implied_probability": 0.38,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.1279999999999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.9159999999999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TPWRBQ8C07",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUDGECOUNT-26JUL-9",
      "question": "Will at least 10 judges be confirmed in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "At least 10",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least 10: The Library of Congress will report the count of judicial confirmations during July 2026 by August 8, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination of whether the threshold was met.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If above 9 federal judges are confirmed after Jul 21, 2026 and before Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe positions that are eligible for inclusion are:\n\nSupreme Court justices\nCourt of Federal Claims judges\nU.S. Court of Appeals judges\nU.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges\n\nJudges for the following courts are NOT included:\n\nU.S. Court of International Trade\nU.S. Tax Court\nU.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims\nU.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces\nU.S. Court of Military Commission Review\nDistrict of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 98.41,
      "volume_total_usd": 181.61,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 9,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "federal judges confirmed",
        "judiciary",
        "senate",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZJS3DBQLM4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}