{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSYVK54V55",
  "slug": "kxjuulflavor-27",
  "question": "Will JUUL relaunch any specific flavors?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "juul",
    "vaping",
    "product-launch",
    "flavor-release",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These six Kalshi markets track the public release timing of individual JUUL flavor variants: Mango, Mint, Cucumber, Fruit Medley, Crème Brûlée, and Cool Mint. Each market is structured as a discrete timing question, not a binary yes/no outcome. All six resolve by January 2027 via Kalshi staff determination of the named product's public release date. Traders effectively price each flavor's relaunch timeline independently, allowing relative probability comparisons across SKUs.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PC1RX61281",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.15,
    "implied_probability": 0.15
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1974VV4ZF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSYVK54V55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUULFLAVOR-27-MAN",
      "question": "When will JUUL release Mango to the public?",
      "description": "Mango",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mango: Kalshi staff determination of the named company's public release date for the referenced product, resolved by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If JUUL releases Mango to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "company",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "authorized retailers and distributors of company",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 560.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "flavor",
        "juul",
        "juul mango release",
        "mango",
        "relaunch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PC1RX61281",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSYVK54V55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUULFLAVOR-27-MIN",
      "question": "When will JUUL release Mint to the public?",
      "description": "Mint",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mint: Kalshi staff determination of the named company's public release date for the referenced product, resolved by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If JUUL releases Mint to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "company",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "authorized retailers and distributors of company",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2797.2014999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "flavor",
        "juul",
        "juul mint release",
        "mint",
        "relaunch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TN74Q1THV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSYVK54V55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUULFLAVOR-27-CUC",
      "question": "When will JUUL release Cucumber to the public?",
      "description": "Cucumber",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cucumber: Kalshi staff determination of the named company's public release date for the referenced product, resolved by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If JUUL releases Cucumber to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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          {
            "name": "authorized retailers and distributors of company",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "company",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 651.0426000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cucumber",
        "flavor",
        "juul",
        "juul cucumber release",
        "relaunch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G4DXSCQRM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSYVK54V55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUULFLAVOR-27-FRU",
      "question": "When will JUUL release Fruit Medley to the public?",
      "description": "Fruit Medley",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Fruit Medley: Kalshi staff determination of the named company's public release date for the referenced product, resolved by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If JUUL releases Fruit Medley to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
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          },
          {
            "name": "authorized retailers and distributors of company",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "company",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13.1382,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "flavor",
        "fruit medley",
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        "juul fruit medley",
        "relaunch"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D6SL1W7CG0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MSYVK54V55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUULFLAVOR-27-CRE",
      "question": "When will JUUL release Crème Brûlée to the public?",
      "description": "Crème Brûlée",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Crème Brûlée: Kalshi staff determination of the named company's public release date for the referenced product, resolved by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If JUUL releases Crème Brûlée to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "sources": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.12,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXJUULFLAVOR-27-COO",
      "question": "When will JUUL release Cool Mint to the public?",
      "description": "Cool Mint",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cool Mint: Kalshi staff determination of the named company's public release date for the referenced product, resolved by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If JUUL releases Cool Mint to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MSYVK54V55",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}