{
  "_notice": {
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-P42DGX3XV8",
  "slug": "kxkamalarun-28",
  "question": "Will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "presidential-race",
    "kamala-harris",
    "candidate-announcement",
    "2024-2028-cycle"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Kamala Harris announces a 2028 presidential run by four successive deadlines. Kalshi structures the event as discrete binary strikes: January 1, April 1, July 1, and October 1, 2027. Each earlier strike implies the later ones, creating an implicit probability curve across the timeline. Kalshi staff determination uses ABC News reporting as the authoritative trigger.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1XVGWW43K7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.73
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P42DGX3XV8",
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      "question": "Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before Jan 1, 2027",
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      "underlying_reference": "Before Jan 1, 2027: ABC News reporting resolves whether the named candidate announces a presidential run by July 1, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.",
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      "question": "Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before Apr 1, 2027",
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      "close_at": "2027-04-01T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXKAMALARUN-28-27JUL01",
      "question": "Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before Jul 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jul 1, 2027: ABC News reporting resolves whether the named candidate announces a presidential run by July 1, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "ABC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "name": "The Information",
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            "name": "CBS",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K348NDZJL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P42DGX3XV8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXKAMALARUN-28-27OCT01",
      "question": "Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before Oct 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Before Oct 1, 2027: ABC News reporting resolves whether the named candidate announces a presidential run by July 1, 2027, via Kalshi staff determination.",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-10-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.",
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