{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F93Z25Z9H6",
  "slug": "kxkashannounceout-26apr",
  "question": "Will Kash Patel's departure as FBI Director be announced in 2026? (monthly series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "kash-patel",
    "fbi-director",
    "us-politics",
    "cabinet-departures",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Kash Patel publicly announces his departure as FBI Director across four sequential deadline tiers. Each contract extends the window by one month, from May through August 2026. Later-dated contracts nest all earlier conditions, creating an implicit term structure of departure probability. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution for all four contracts.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1VD7CG5Y50",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.005
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5KGP68CL77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F93Z25Z9H6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXKASHANNOUNCEOUT-26APR-MAY01",
      "question": "Will Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before May 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before May 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before May 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate publicly announces departure from the specified position before August 1, 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
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            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com",
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            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "question": "Will Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Jun 1, 2026?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
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            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
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    {
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      "question": "Will Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2026?",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXKASHANNOUNCEOUT-26APR-AUG01",
      "question": "Will Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
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        "rules_raw": "If Kash Patel leaves (or announces he will leave) as FBI Director before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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