{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BD8VLVHC95",
  "slug": "kxlagodays-26aug",
  "question": "Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Aug 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-residency",
    "mar-a-lago",
    "2026",
    "visit-frequency",
    "presidential-travel"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These five Kalshi markets price discrete trip-count outcomes for Trump's Mar-a-Lago visits during August 2026. Each binary contract covers a mutually exclusive count tier: 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 trips. Kalshi staff determination relies on Fox News reporting as the authoritative source. Gaps or ambiguity in Fox News coverage could affect which tier resolves affirmatively.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FC0Q392RR6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.92,
    "implied_probability": 0.92
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FC0Q392RR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BD8VLVHC95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26AUG-0",
      "question": "Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "0: Fox News reporting on the named individual's trips to the referenced location during August 2026, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Aug 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Aug 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 864.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 7180.09,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "mar-a-lago",
        "trump",
        "trump mar lago",
        "visits"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SM6MPRL8J4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BD8VLVHC95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26AUG-1",
      "question": "Will Trump make 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Fox News reporting on the named individual's trips to the referenced location during August 2026, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Aug 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Aug 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 488.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 2295.43,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-38S81X75J0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BD8VLVHC95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26AUG-2",
      "question": "Will Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "2: Fox News reporting on the named individual's trips to the referenced location during August 2026, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Aug 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Aug 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 36.77,
      "volume_total_usd": 586.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "mar-a-lago",
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        "trump mar lago",
        "visits"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SQYYJGX1M2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BD8VLVHC95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26AUG-3",
      "question": "Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "3: Fox News reporting on the named individual's trips to the referenced location during August 2026, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Aug 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Aug 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 109.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "mar-a-lago",
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        "trump mar lago",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WZ0DKQ7CK3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BD8VLVHC95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26AUG-4",
      "question": "Will Trump make 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "4",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4: Fox News reporting on the named individual's trips to the referenced location during August 2026, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by September 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Aug 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Aug 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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            "name": "New York Times",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BD8VLVHC95",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}