{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R3M9C1K632",
  "slug": "kxlagodays-26jul",
  "question": "Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-residences",
    "mar-a-lago",
    "travel-frequency",
    "2026",
    "presidential-movements"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the number of discrete presidential trips to Mar-a-Lago during July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as five mutually exclusive binary contracts, each priced at a distinct trip count from zero to four. Taken together, the contracts function as a discrete probability distribution over visit frequency. Kalshi staff determine resolution using Fox News reporting on presidential travel.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QQ5XL8H6K1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QQ5XL8H6K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R3M9C1K632",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-0",
      "question": "Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "0: The number of presidential trips to the named location during the specified month resolves according to Fox News reporting, as determined by Kalshi staff by August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jul 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jul 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.99,
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      "volume_total_usd": 73256.2578,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "mar-a-lago",
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        "visits"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYJ8XQFFR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R3M9C1K632",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-1",
      "question": "Will Trump make 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The number of presidential trips to the named location during the specified month resolves according to Fox News reporting, as determined by Kalshi staff by August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jul 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jul 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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            "name": "Politico",
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            "name": "White House",
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R3M9C1K632",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-2",
      "question": "Will Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "2: The number of presidential trips to the named location during the specified month resolves according to Fox News reporting, as determined by Kalshi staff by August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jul 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jul 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
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          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "White House",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6V149C1JN4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R3M9C1K632",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-3",
      "question": "Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "3: The number of presidential trips to the named location during the specified month resolves according to Fox News reporting, as determined by Kalshi staff by August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jul 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jul 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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            "name": "Politico",
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        "caps": [
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-29B38TD0L7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R3M9C1K632",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-4",
      "question": "Will Trump make 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "4",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4: The number of presidential trips to the named location during the specified month resolves according to Fox News reporting, as determined by Kalshi staff by August 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jul 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jul 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-R3M9C1K632",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}