{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
  "slug": "kxlagodays-26jun",
  "question": "Will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago at least X times in June 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-mar-a-lago",
    "2026-june",
    "travel-tracking",
    "us-politics",
    "quantitative-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These five Kalshi markets collectively price the discrete trip count for President Trump's visits to Mar-a-Lago during June 2026. Each contract covers a mutually exclusive outcome: zero, one, two, three, or four trips in the month. Together they form a full probability distribution over visit frequency. Kalshi staff determination relies on Fox News reporting as the authoritative count source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JSL4JJK2W0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JSL4JJK2W0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-0",
      "question": "Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "0: Fox News reporting resolves the count of trips the named candidate makes to the referenced location during June 2026, with resolution on June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 341.55,
      "volume_total_usd": 42638.6,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mar-a-lago",
        "president",
        "travel",
        "trump",
        "trump mar lago"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8N8WK1MSR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-1",
      "question": "Will Trump make 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "1: Fox News reporting resolves the count of trips the named candidate makes to the referenced location during June 2026, with resolution on June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 114.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 3112.03,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mar-a-lago",
        "president",
        "travel",
        "trump",
        "trump mar lago"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZTLBYVMLM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-2",
      "question": "Will Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "2: Fox News reporting resolves the count of trips the named candidate makes to the referenced location during June 2026, with resolution on June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.22,
      "volume_total_usd": 1385.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mar-a-lago",
        "president",
        "travel",
        "trump",
        "trump mar lago"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1V15KRPQJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-3",
      "question": "Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "3",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "3: Fox News reporting resolves the count of trips the named candidate makes to the referenced location during June 2026, with resolution on June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4,
      "volume_total_usd": 195.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mar-a-lago",
        "president",
        "travel",
        "trump",
        "trump mar lago"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VLX4Q80HM0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-4",
      "question": "Will Trump make 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026?",
      "description": "4",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4: Fox News reporting resolves the count of trips the named candidate makes to the referenced location during June 2026, with resolution on June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "White House",
            "url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 77.15,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mar-a-lago",
        "president",
        "travel",
        "trump",
        "trump mar lago"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JSL4JJK2W0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8N8WK1MSR7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZTLBYVMLM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1V15KRPQJ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VLX4Q80HM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}