{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-59SSCZ3Q31",
  "slug": "kxlamayor1r-26",
  "question": "Will there be a first round winner in the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "los-angeles-politics",
    "mayoral-election",
    "2027-election",
    "us-local-government",
    "ranked-choice-voting"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the first-round winner of the Los Angeles mayoral election, closing June 2, 2027. Each contract is a binary on a named candidate: Bass, Raman, Huang, Miller, and Pratt. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination using Los Angeles County Clerk or Board of Elections official results. A first-round win requires a plurality; no runoff dynamic is priced here.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SBN78X6845",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.99
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "question": "Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
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      "close_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nithya Raman wins the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.42,
      "volume_total_usd": 8545.14,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2025",
        "election",
        "los angeles",
        "mayor",
        "nithya raman"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
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      "question": "Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
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      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
      "description": "Spencer Pratt",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Spencer Pratt wins the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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      "question": "Who will win the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election?",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rae Huang wins the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-59SSCZ3Q31",
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