{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HN87LBBQD2",
  "slug": "kxlaprimary-01r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee in California's 1st congressional district be determined by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "louisiana-politics",
    "house-race-2027",
    "republican-primary",
    "congressional-nomination",
    "us-elections"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks the Republican nomination for Louisiana's 1st Congressional District in the 2026 general election. Both markets are on Kalshi and price binary candidate-specific outcomes: one for Steve Scalise, one for Randall Arrington. The two markets are mutually exclusive and together signal field probability. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination against official Republican Party nomination records.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JD61C86C90",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.022,
    "implied_probability": 0.022
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JD61C86C90",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HN87LBBQD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAPRIMARY-01R26-SSCA",
      "question": "Will Steve Scalise be the Republican nominee for LA-01?",
      "description": "Steve Scalise",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Steve Scalise: The Republican Party's official nomination records as of the 2026 general election determine which candidate is designated the party's nominee for the referenced office.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Scalise wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.022,
      "implied_probability": 0.022,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2336.34588,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "house",
        "louisiana",
        "primary",
        "republican",
        "steve scalise"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZMHLKC8SB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HN87LBBQD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAPRIMARY-01R26-RARR",
      "question": "Will Randall Arrington be the Republican nominee for LA-01?",
      "description": "Randall Arrington",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Randall Arrington: The Republican Party's official nomination records as of the 2026 general election determine which candidate is designated the party's nominee for the referenced office.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Randall Arrington wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 269.6184,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "house",
        "louisiana",
        "primary",
        "randall arrington",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-HN87LBBQD2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}