{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZTGN9MPFL9",
  "slug": "kxlayoffsyinfo-26",
  "question": "More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "tech-layoffs",
    "employment-metrics",
    "2026-economics",
    "year-over-year-comparison",
    "labor-market"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether total tech-sector layoffs in 2026 exceed those recorded in 2025. Resolution references the Federal Reserve Economic Data FRED series JTU5100LDL, covering layoffs in information services, with Kalshi staff determination applied at close. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast exists. The market resolves March 1, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-330DF7C5Z4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.901,
    "implied_probability": 0.901
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-330DF7C5Z4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZTGN9MPFL9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000",
      "question": "More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series JTU5100LDL (layoffs in information services) determines whether 2026 layoffs exceed 2025 layoffs.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nImportant information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025. The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified. If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly. Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FRED",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL#",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FRED",
            "url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL#",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FRED",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.901,
      "implied_probability": 0.901,
      "volume_24h_usd": 274.01212000000004,
      "volume_total_usd": 28316915.72534,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 447000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2DB53A324C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "employment",
        "labor",
        "tech",
        "tech industry layoffs"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZTGN9MPFL9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}