{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0QDTY1D1Y1",
  "slug": "kxlayoffsypbs-26",
  "question": "More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "employment",
    "white-collar-labor",
    "layoffs-2026",
    "economic-indicators",
    "year-over-year-comparison"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether white-collar layoff volumes in 2026 exceed those recorded in 2025. The authoritative data source is the Federal Reserve Economic Data FRED series JTU5100LDL, drawn from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Resolution is determined by Kalshi staff using that series. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B9XCL16S52",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.55,
    "implied_probability": 0.55
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B9XCL16S52",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0QDTY1D1Y1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLAYOFFSYPBS-26-5497000",
      "question": "More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series JTU5100LDL (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey layoffs, white-collar workers) publishes annual 2026 versus 2025 layoff totals.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted.\"",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "FRED",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL#",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "FRED",
            "url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL#",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "FRED",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 96,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 32116.315000000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5497000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7E3758EE0A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2025",
        "2026",
        "employment",
        "layoffs",
        "white collar layoffs",
        "white-collar"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0QDTY1D1Y1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}