{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
  "slug": "kxleadersout-27jan01",
  "question": "Which leaders will leave office in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "political-transitions",
    "leadership-changes",
    "2027-resolution",
    "executive-office",
    "global-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether named heads of state or government depart their offices before January 1, 2027. All 37 markets are structured as binary yes/no departure questions across a single calendar year. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination, informed by Washington Post reporting. Resolution occurs at the January 1, 2027 deadline across all contracts simultaneously.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-J4174VJ1J1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.24,
    "implied_probability": 0.24
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3ZYCDVCNQ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISR",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Benjamin Netanyahu",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Benjamin Netanyahu: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites relevant to <office>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office or organization where <person> holds <office>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 43,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 762.9525,
      "volume_total_usd": 183492.549,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "benjamin netanyahu",
        "israel",
        "prime minister"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-874DWF71Z9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR",
      "question": "Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Volodymyr Zelenskyy",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Volodymyr Zelenskyy: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Volodymyr Zelenskyy has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Ukraine or has actually left President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites relevant to <office>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office or organization where <person> holds <office>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 43,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 39.442499999999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 9792.792,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "president",
        "ukraine",
        "volodymyr zelenskyy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4Y48LH25X3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-JMILARG",
      "question": "Will Javier Milei leave President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Javier Milei",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Javier Milei: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Javier Milei has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Argentina or has actually left President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites relevant to <office>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "office or organization where <person> holds <office>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 43,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.044,
      "implied_probability": 0.044,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.024,
      "volume_total_usd": 180.17999999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "argentina",
        "javier milei",
        "president"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SCWWVW4LX2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MCARCAN",
      "question": "Will Mark Carney leave Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Mark Carney",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Carney: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Carney has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Canada or has actually left Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government websites relevant to <office>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "name": "Politico",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "office or organization where <person> holds <office>",
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            "name": "CNN",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 43,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 583.1088,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "canada",
        "mark carney",
        "prime minister"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P840BHK5R3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CRAMSAFR",
      "question": "Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Cyril Ramaphosa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of South Africa or has actually left President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Giorgia Meloni leave Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QRX06P3P82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LSILBRA",
      "question": "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leave President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Brazil or has actually left President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TC7T8PQLB7",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-RERDTUR",
      "question": "Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan leave President of Türkiye before Jan 1, 2027?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Türkiye or has actually left President of Türkiye before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-KSTAUK",
      "question": "Will Keir Starmer leave Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Keir Starmer: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Xi Jinping leave General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Xi Jinping has either officially announced their intention to leave as General Secretary of the Communist Party of China or has actually left General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBPV60GNT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS",
      "question": "Will Vladimir Putin leave President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Vladimir Putin",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Vladimir Putin: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Vladimir Putin has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Russia or has actually left President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Y6NB8WH229",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MBSSARA",
      "question": "Will Mohammed bin Salman leave Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mohammed bin Salman: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Mohammed bin Salman has either officially announced their intention to leave as Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia or has actually left Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XFXWLCN0F8",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-NMODIND",
      "question": "Will Narendra Modi leave Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Narendra Modi: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:48Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Narendra Modi has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of India or has actually left Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will Emmanuel Macron leave President of France before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Sanae Takaichi leave Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2027?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Sanae Takaichi has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Japan or has actually left Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Kim Jong Un leave Supreme Leader of North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Kim Jong Un: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Kim Jong Un has either officially announced their intention to leave as Supreme Leader of North Korea or has actually left Supreme Leader of North Korea before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "question": "Will Ahmad al-Sharaa leave President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Ahmad al-Sharaa: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Ahmad al-Sharaa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Syria or has actually left President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "question": "Will Aleksandar Vučić leave President of Serbia before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Daniel Noboa leave President of Ecuador before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira leave President of Bolivia before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Lee Jae Myung leave President of South Korea before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Gustavo Petro leave President of Colombia before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Denis Sassou Nguesso leave President of the Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Denis Sassou Nguesso: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Denis Sassou Nguesso has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YZ9FXGCSJ4",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FTSHPDRC",
      "question": "Will Félix Tshisekedi leave President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Félix Tshisekedi",
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      "underlying_reference": "Félix Tshisekedi: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Félix Tshisekedi has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-279ZQY9KX3",
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      "question": "Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Friedrich Merz: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:49Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC",
      "question": "Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Miguel Díaz-Canel: Kalshi staff determination, informed by The Washington Post reporting, resolves whether the named individual departs the referenced position before January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-02T03:17:49Z",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Miguel Díaz-Canel has either officially announced their intention to leave as First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba or has actually left First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"official announcement\" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.\n\n\"Leaving office\" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "question": "Will Irfaan Ali leave President of Guyana before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Frederik X leave King of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Jens-Frederik Nielsen leave Prime Minister of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Mette Frederiksen leave Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Delcy Rodriguez leave Acting President of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Ramzan Kadyrov leave Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027?",
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