{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7L340MPXL8",
  "slug": "kxleavepowellgov-26aug01",
  "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave his position on the Federal Reserve Board? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2028)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "federal-reserve",
    "jerome-powell",
    "us-politics",
    "central-banking",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Jerome Powell departs his Federal Reserve Board of Governors seat across a series of monthly deadline tiers extending through January 2028. Each Kalshi contract prices the probability of departure before a discrete date, creating a term structure of exit risk across near and far horizons. The cross-platform insight: Kalshi prices the timing of departure across sequential date thresholds, while no continuous or binary outcome counterpart exists here to contrast direction. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination, referencing The Washington Post's reporting as the authoritative factual source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FB05G4NYV1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.26,
    "implied_probability": 0.26
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7CB1RM5F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7L340MPXL8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01-JUN",
      "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jun 1, 2026: The Washington Post's reporting on whether the named individual departs the referenced Federal Reserve position resolves this market on January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.",
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      "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026?",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3B6XL622Y4",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.",
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      "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.",
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