{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7L340MPXL8",
  "slug": "kxleavepowellgov-26aug01",
  "question": "Will Jerome Powell's departure as Federal Reserve Governor be announced? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2028)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "federal-reserve",
    "jerome-powell",
    "us-politics",
    "central-banking",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Jerome Powell departs his role as a Member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Kalshi structures the event as a series of binary contracts, each with a different departure deadline ranging from June 2026 through January 2028. Later-dated contracts are implied cumulative; a June 2026 resolution informs all subsequent strikes. Kalshi staff determination uses Washington Post reporting as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FB05G4NYV1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.24,
    "implied_probability": 0.24,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7CB1RM5F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7L340MPXL8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01-JUN",
      "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jun 1, 2026: The Washington Post's reporting on whether the named individual departs the referenced Federal Reserve position resolves this market on January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JSDD60PV63",
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      "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3B6XL622Y4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7L340MPXL8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01",
      "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 1, 2026: The Washington Post's reporting on whether the named individual departs the referenced Federal Reserve position resolves this market on January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NDHRV5Y0T5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7L340MPXL8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26SEP01",
      "question": "Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Sep 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.",
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