{
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CDHDBRVS2",
  "slug": "kxlmt-26octf35",
  "question": "Lockheed Martin F-35 aircraft deliveries, October 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      40,
      45
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    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 20,
        "prob": 93
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      {
        "threshold": 25,
        "prob": 92
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        "threshold": 30,
        "prob": 84
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        "prob": 67
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      {
        "threshold": 50,
        "prob": 22
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      {
        "threshold": 55,
        "prob": 10
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      {
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        "prob": 5
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  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "lockheed-martin",
    "f-35-deliveries",
    "defense-manufacturing",
    "q3-earnings",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Lockheed Martin F-35 aircraft deliveries reported for Q3 2026. Kalshi structures the event as nine discrete strike thresholds, from above 20 to above 60 units, each resolving as a binary. Together they imply a cumulative distribution over the delivery count. Kalshi staff will resolve each contract against Lockheed Martin's Form 10-Q filing for Q3 2026, cross-referenced with Fiscal.ai data.",
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CDHDBRVS2",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXLMT-26OCTF35-20",
      "question": "Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-02-17T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-17T04:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "volume_total_usd": 1156.94,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": "CMX-DD755B2A4C",
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      "tags": [
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        "lmt",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXLMT-26OCTF35-25",
      "question": "Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2027-02-17T04:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-17T04:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Lockheed Martin Corporation reports Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "question": "Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXLMT-26OCTF35-35",
      "question": "Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 35 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 35",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 35: Lockheed Martin Corporation's Form 10-Q filing for Q3 2026, reviewed by Kalshi staff against Fiscal.ai data, by February 17, 2027.",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXLMT-26OCTF35-40",
      "question": "Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 40 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 40: Lockheed Martin Corporation's Form 10-Q filing for Q3 2026, reviewed by Kalshi staff against Fiscal.ai data, by February 17, 2027.",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question": "Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 45 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?",
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