{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W34CDDJ6M0",
  "slug": "kxlouisvillemayor-26",
  "question": "Will a Louisville mayor be elected by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "louisville-mayor",
    "kentucky-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "local-government",
    "mayoral-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election. Both markets are listed on Kalshi and price binary outcomes for individual named candidates: Craig Greenberg and Shameka Parrish-Wright. The two contracts are complements; together they span the probable winner set. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using certified results from the Louisville-Jefferson County Board of Elections, expected by November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-37X8Y9XPM2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.96,
    "implied_probability": 0.96
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-37X8Y9XPM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W34CDDJ6M0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLOUISVILLEMAYOR-26-CGRE",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election?",
      "description": "Craig Greenberg",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Craig Greenberg: The named candidate's official election result, as certified by the Louisville-Jefferson County Board of Elections by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Craig Greenberg wins the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
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          {
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
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          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Source Agencies are",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7246.2624,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "craig greenberg",
        "election",
        "louisville",
        "mayor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H1H9GF1D77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W34CDDJ6M0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLOUISVILLEMAYOR-26-SPAR",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election?",
      "description": "Shameka Parrish-Wright",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Shameka Parrish-Wright: The named candidate's official election result, as certified by the Louisville-Jefferson County Board of Elections by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Shameka Parrish-Wright wins the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "volume_total_usd": 347.6058,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-W34CDDJ6M0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}