{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CJ192CT1C7",
  "slug": "kxltgovtx-26",
  "question": "Who will win the Texas Lieutenant Governor election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "texas-politics",
    "lieutenant-governor",
    "2027-election",
    "us-statewide-race",
    "electoral-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election. Both markets are binary Kalshi contracts structured by party, resolved via Kalshi staff determination against Texas state government certified results. The two contracts are complements: a Republican win market and a Democratic win market price the same outcome from opposite directions. A third-party or independent winner would resolve both contracts to No.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KMQFW2HB72",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.901,
    "implied_probability": 0.901
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KMQFW2HB72",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CJ192CT1C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLTGOVTX-26-GOP",
      "question": "Will the Republican party win the Lieutenant Governor race in Texas?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: Texas state government election certification or official results declare the winner of the named statewide office by November 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-10T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as the Lieutenant Governor of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "State governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.myfloridahouse.gov/Sections/Bills/billsdetail.aspx?BillId=79719",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State governments",
            "url": "https://www.myfloridahouse.gov/Sections/Bills/billsdetail.aspx?BillId=79719",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.901,
      "implied_probability": 0.901,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8987.34886,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "lieutenant governor",
        "republican",
        "texas",
        "texas lieutenant governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PYW16D4XZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CJ192CT1C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLTGOVTX-26-DEM",
      "question": "Will the Democratic party win the Lieutenant Governor race in Texas?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: Texas state government election certification or official results declare the winner of the named statewide office by November 10, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-10T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as the Lieutenant Governor of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "State governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.myfloridahouse.gov/Sections/Bills/billsdetail.aspx?BillId=79719",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "State governments",
            "url": "https://www.myfloridahouse.gov/Sections/Bills/billsdetail.aspx?BillId=79719",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "State governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 361.60800000000006,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "lieutenant governor",
        "texas",
        "texas lieutenant governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CJ192CT1C7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}