{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
  "slug": "kxlulua-27maramercomp",
  "question": "Will Lululemon Americas achieve positive comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "lululemon",
    "comparable-sales-growth",
    "americas-region",
    "fiscal-2026",
    "retail-earnings"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Lululemon Athletica's Americas comparable sales growth rate for fiscal 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of discrete strike thresholds, from -9% through +4%, each binary contract asking whether the reported figure exceeds that level. Collectively, the ladder implies a probability distribution over the comparable sales outcome range. Kalshi staff determination uses Fiscal.ai as the authoritative data source for Lululemon's reported figure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2585H5DMB1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.45,
    "implied_probability": 0.45
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KM4ZQR27H9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-N9.0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -9% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above -9%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -9%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -9% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 91.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 202.62,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": -9,
      "question_id": "CMX-FAC0C00843",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "americas",
        "comp sales",
        "lulu",
        "lululemon americas comparable",
        "retail"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-64NT417BJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-N8.0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -8% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above -8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -8%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -8% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.57,
      "implied_probability": 0.57,
      "volume_24h_usd": 228.61,
      "volume_total_usd": 486.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": -8,
      "question_id": "CMX-23E8AF9467",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "americas",
        "comp sales",
        "lulu",
        "lululemon americas comparable",
        "retail"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-31NH6P39P9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-N7.0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -7% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?",
      "description": "Above -7%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -7%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -7% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.52,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.81,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": -7,
      "question_id": "CMX-6C6BF1D51D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "americas",
        "comp sales",
        "lulu",
        "lululemon americas comparable",
        "retail"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2585H5DMB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-N6.0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -6% americas comparable sales growth in 2026?",
      "description": "Above -6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -6%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -6 americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.09,
      "volume_total_usd": 2611.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": -6,
      "question_id": "CMX-585F09CDD3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "americas",
        "comp sales",
        "lulu",
        "lululemon americas comparable",
        "retail"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QPN3KB2263",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-N5.0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -5% americas comparable sales growth in 2026?",
      "description": "Above -5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -5%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -5 americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1955.98,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": -5,
      "question_id": "CMX-CD2AEF3D81",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "americas",
        "comp sales",
        "lulu",
        "lululemon americas comparable",
        "retail"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GST0C1TQR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-N4.0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -4% americas comparable sales growth in 2026?",
      "description": "Above -4%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -4%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -4 americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "sources": [
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        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.31,
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      "volume_total_usd": 607.16,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-691A4B92B7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "americas",
        "comp sales",
        "lulu",
        "lululemon americas comparable",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WG4Y0H2HM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-N3.0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -3% americas comparable sales growth in 2026?",
      "description": "Above -3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -3%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -3 americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-70A3DCF495",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "americas",
        "comp sales",
        "lulu",
        "lululemon americas comparable",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8NX4JCZSD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-N2.0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -2% americas comparable sales growth in 2026?",
      "description": "Above -2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -2%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -2 americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
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      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -1% americas comparable sales growth in 2026?",
      "description": "Above -1%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above -1%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above -1 americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "sources": [
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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        "lulu",
        "lululemon americas comparable",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HTMM7S02W8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-551GSPST10",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLULUA-27MARAMERCOMP-0",
      "question": "Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above 0% americas comparable sales growth in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0%: The listed company's reported Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, as published by Fiscal.ai, resolves on May 30, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lululemon Athletica Inc reports Above 0 americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Lululemon Athletica Inc's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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