{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X0VP16P6H4",
  "slug": "kxlyft-26augrides",
  "question": "Lyft Inc. report million total rides in Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      254000000,
      257000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 248000000,
        "prob": 90
      },
      {
        "threshold": 251000000,
        "prob": 91
      },
      {
        "threshold": 254000000,
        "prob": 68
      },
      {
        "threshold": 257000000,
        "prob": 48
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      {
        "threshold": 260000000,
        "prob": 14
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  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "lyft",
    "rideshare-metrics",
    "q2-2026",
    "earnings",
    "volume-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Lyft's total rides metric for Q2 2026, as reported in the company's official earnings disclosure. Kalshi structures the event as five binary strike thresholds spanning 248 million to 260 million rides. Each higher strike prices incremental probability that volume exceeds that level. Kalshi staff determination resolves all contracts against Lyft's investor disclosures, expected by September 4, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-W9FJ79LFD4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.48,
    "implied_probability": 0.48
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HN39L2VTC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X0VP16P6H4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLYFT-26AUGRIDES-P248000000",
      "question": "Will Lyft Inc. report above 248 million total rides in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 248 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 248 million: The listed company's official quarterly earnings report or investor disclosures, verified by Kalshi staff, by September 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lyft Inc. reports above 248000000 total rides in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.9,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 947.7719999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 248000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FCFC1910BC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "lyft",
        "lyft total rides",
        "q2-2026",
        "rides"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PRJCF5Z3Z2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X0VP16P6H4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLYFT-26AUGRIDES-P251000000",
      "question": "Will Lyft Inc. report above 251 million total rides in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 251 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 251 million: The listed company's official quarterly earnings report or investor disclosures, verified by Kalshi staff, by September 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Lyft Inc. reports above 251000000 total rides in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
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      "volume_total_usd": 2080.4966000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 251000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-20FCF0355A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "lyft",
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        "q2-2026",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q72Y1DYHL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X0VP16P6H4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLYFT-26AUGRIDES-P254000000",
      "question": "Will Lyft Inc. report above 254 million total rides in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 254 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "above 254 million: The listed company's official quarterly earnings report or investor disclosures, verified by Kalshi staff, by September 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Lyft Inc. reports above 254000000 total rides in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1.8624,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 254000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-BCFE45340B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "lyft",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W9FJ79LFD4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X0VP16P6H4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXLYFT-26AUGRIDES-P257000000",
      "question": "Will Lyft Inc. report above 257 million total rides in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 257 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 257 million: The listed company's official quarterly earnings report or investor disclosures, verified by Kalshi staff, by September 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Lyft Inc. reports above 257000000 total rides in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 257000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8D0D6A1F2C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H7KY351QV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-X0VP16P6H4",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXLYFT-26AUGRIDES-P260000000",
      "question": "Will Lyft Inc. report above 260 million total rides in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 260 million",
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      "underlying_reference": "above 260 million: The listed company's official quarterly earnings report or investor disclosures, verified by Kalshi staff, by September 4, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-09-04T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Lyft Inc. reports above 260000000 total rides in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "question_id": "CMX-CEECFEFC12",
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  "_provenance": {
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-X0VP16P6H4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}