{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XV04WFQ853",
  "slug": "kxmartindncout-26may",
  "question": "Will Ken Martin step down as DNC chair?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "dnc-leadership",
    "democratic-party",
    "us-politics",
    "2026",
    "chair-turnover"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Ken Martin exits the DNC chair role across nine sequential deadlines spanning June 2026 through January 2028. All nine contracts are Kalshi binary markets; each prices the probability of departure before a discrete cutoff date. The term structure functions as a survival curve, with later strikes implying cumulative exit probability over longer horizons. Resolution in each case follows Kalshi staff determination of Martin's leadership status at the relevant date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-J381P7B387",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.46,
    "implied_probability": 0.46
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2KZ0T66837",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XV04WFQ853",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMARTINDNCOUT-26MAY-JUN01",
      "question": "Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jun 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jun 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named individual holds the referenced leadership position as of January 1, 2027, resolved by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKen Martin must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "person",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "person",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "official government records and registries",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 43.21,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XV04WFQ853",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMARTINDNCOUT-26MAY-AUG01",
      "question": "Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named individual holds the referenced leadership position as of January 1, 2027, resolved by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKen Martin must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com",
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            "name": "the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "official government records and registries",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.03,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 415.86,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PNMM3QPH77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XV04WFQ853",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMARTINDNCOUT-26MAY-26SEP01",
      "question": "Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Sep 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Sep 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Sep 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named individual holds the referenced leadership position as of January 1, 2027, resolved by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKen Martin must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "person",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "official government records and registries",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com",
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
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          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Politico",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LNFXPGVYJ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XV04WFQ853",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMARTINDNCOUT-26MAY-26OCT01",
      "question": "Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Oct 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Oct 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Oct 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named individual holds the referenced leadership position as of January 1, 2027, resolved by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKen Martin must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "official government records and registries",
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            "name": "CNN",
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            "name": "the New York Times",
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            "name": "Politico",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N1ZBGLSGY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XV04WFQ853",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMARTINDNCOUT-26MAY-26NOV01",
      "question": "Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Nov 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Nov 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Nov 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named individual holds the referenced leadership position as of January 1, 2027, resolved by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ken Martin leaves as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nKen Martin must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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            "name": "Fox News",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com",
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            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
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            "name": "the New York Times",
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
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      },
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6108WR8YB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XV04WFQ853",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMARTINDNCOUT-26MAY-26DEC01",
      "question": "Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Dec 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Dec 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Dec 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named individual holds the referenced leadership position as of January 1, 2027, resolved by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T15:00:00Z",
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