{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
  "slug": "kxmdprimary-05d26",
  "question": "Will the MD-05 Democratic nominee be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "maryland-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "democratic-nominee",
    "us-house",
    "congressional-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic nominee for Maryland's 5th Congressional District. Kalshi lists 24 candidate-specific binary contracts, each resolved by Kalshi staff determination. All markets resolve November 3, 2026, coinciding with Maryland's primary or general election cycle. Each contract is structurally independent; only one candidate can resolve affirmative.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CJP8PJ8450",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.71,
    "implied_probability": 0.71
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VFMG7J3DB0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-MARN",
      "question": "Will Mark Kenneth Arness be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Mark Kenneth Arness",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Kenneth Arness: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Kenneth Arness wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.14,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "mark kenneth arness",
        "md-05",
        "nominee"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WPZRHMHZQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-RBAK",
      "question": "Will Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Rushern Baker III",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rushern Baker III: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rushern Baker III wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 274.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VR64W1DY5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-QBAR",
      "question": "Will Quincy Bareebe be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Quincy Bareebe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Quincy Bareebe: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Quincy Bareebe wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.058,
      "implied_probability": 0.058,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 67.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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        "quincy bareebe"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4MBWLLTKW5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-WBLE",
      "question": "Will Wala Blegay be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Wala Blegay",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Wala Blegay: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Wala Blegay wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.039,
      "implied_probability": 0.039,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "md-05",
        "nominee",
        "wala blegay"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CJP8PJ8450",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-ABOA",
      "question": "Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Adrian Boafo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Adrian Boafo: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Adrian Boafo wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.71,
      "implied_probability": 0.71,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.54,
      "volume_total_usd": 8470.35,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "adrian boafo",
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        "nominee"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LRWXRJ3JL2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-RCOL",
      "question": "Will Reuben Collins II be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Reuben Collins II",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Reuben Collins II: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Reuben Collins II wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.07,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MDY1T3V8G7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-ECOL",
      "question": "Will Ellis Colvin be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Ellis Colvin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ellis Colvin: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ellis Colvin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.07,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WH516XHX83",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-HDUN",
      "question": "Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Harry Dunn",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Harry Dunn: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Harry Dunn wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 112.78,
      "volume_total_usd": 378.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "harry dunn",
        "md-05",
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3NNV5NKB56",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MX5Y35ZL63",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMDPRIMARY-05D26-AELL",
      "question": "Will Arthur Ellis be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?",
      "description": "Arthur Ellis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Arthur Ellis: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is the Democratic nominee for the referenced congressional district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Arthur Ellis wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MD-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.035,
      "implied_probability": 0.035,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.31,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arthur ellis",
        "democratic",
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