{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
  "slug": "kxmecklenburgvorpommern-26sep20",
  "question": "Will the CDU win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "german-politics",
    "state-election",
    "mecklenburg-vorpommern",
    "2027",
    "spd"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winning party in the 2027 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. All seven markets are Kalshi binary contracts, each pricing one party's probability of winning. The markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive across SPD, AfD, CDU, Die Linke, Grüne, FDP, and BSW. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination using officially proclaimed election results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YT7QWXSSP7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.86,
    "implied_probability": 0.86
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G4JBQMNSY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMECKLENBURGVORPOMMERN-26SEP20-SPD",
      "question": "Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?",
      "description": "SPD",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "SPD: The named party's vote share or seat count in the referenced state election, as officially proclaimed by the relevant electoral authority, resolves by September 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SPD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 522.9984,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "german politics",
        "mecklenburg-vorpommern",
        "spd",
        "state election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YT7QWXSSP7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMECKLENBURGVORPOMMERN-26SEP20-AFD",
      "question": "Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?",
      "description": "AfD",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "AfD: The named party's vote share or seat count in the referenced state election, as officially proclaimed by the relevant electoral authority, resolves by September 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If AfD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3908.6054000000004,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "afd",
        "german politics",
        "mecklenburg-vorpommern",
        "state election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0RB3TW20G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMECKLENBURGVORPOMMERN-26SEP20-CDU",
      "question": "Will CDU win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?",
      "description": "CDU",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "CDU: The named party's vote share or seat count in the referenced state election, as officially proclaimed by the relevant electoral authority, resolves by September 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If CDU wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 103.59,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cdu",
        "german politics",
        "mecklenburg-vorpommern",
        "state election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-43QQB2V3W9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMECKLENBURGVORPOMMERN-26SEP20-DLIN",
      "question": "Will Die Linke win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?",
      "description": "Die Linke",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Die Linke: The named party's vote share or seat count in the referenced state election, as officially proclaimed by the relevant electoral authority, resolves by September 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Die Linke wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 89.82000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "die linke",
        "german politics",
        "mecklenburg-vorpommern",
        "state election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F7PSCNSB44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMECKLENBURGVORPOMMERN-26SEP20-GRUN",
      "question": "Will Grüne win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?",
      "description": "Grüne",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Grüne: The named party's vote share or seat count in the referenced state election, as officially proclaimed by the relevant electoral authority, resolves by September 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Grüne wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 121.072,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "german politics",
        "gr ne",
        "mecklenburg-vorpommern",
        "state election"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5J68XQCBZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMECKLENBURGVORPOMMERN-26SEP20-FDP",
      "question": "Will FDP win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?",
      "description": "FDP",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "FDP: The named party's vote share or seat count in the referenced state election, as officially proclaimed by the relevant electoral authority, resolves by September 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If FDP wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 148.303,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdp",
        "german politics",
        "mecklenburg-vorpommern",
        "state election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V8TBP33D08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMECKLENBURGVORPOMMERN-26SEP20-BSW",
      "question": "Will BSW win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?",
      "description": "BSW",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "BSW: The named party's vote share or seat count in the referenced state election, as officially proclaimed by the relevant electoral authority, resolves by September 20, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-09-20T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If BSW wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections",
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        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "constitutional court",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "the official electoral commission",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 144.311,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bsw",
        "german politics",
        "mecklenburg-vorpommern",
        "state election"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6LFB9BT551",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}