{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NWX1714TQ5",
  "slug": "kxmesenateperson-26",
  "question": "Will the Maine Senate winner be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "maine-senate",
    "us-politics",
    "election-2026",
    "senate-race",
    "person-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race. Kalshi lists each candidate as a discrete binary contract, resolved by Kalshi staff determination. The authoritative source is Maine county clerks certifying the general election result by November 3, 2026. All 16 contracts cover the same race, segmented by named candidate.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-STSC1M5223",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.63,
    "implied_probability": 0.63
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V0Q6SYYQ19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NWX1714TQ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMESENATEPERSON-26-GPLA",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
      "description": "Graham Platner",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Graham Platner: Maine county clerks or boards of elections certify the general election winner by November 3, 2026, 3 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Graham Platner wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "The Source Agencies are",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMESENATEPERSON-26-SCOL",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
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      "close_at": "2027-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NWX1714TQ5",
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
      "description": "Janet Mills",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Janet Mills: Maine county clerks or boards of elections certify the general election winner by November 3, 2026, 3 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
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          {
            "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6KT3WSK931",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NWX1714TQ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMESENATEPERSON-26-NSHA",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
      "description": "Nirav Shah",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nirav Shah: Maine county clerks or boards of elections certify the general election winner by November 3, 2026, 3 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nirav Shah wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
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          {
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Troy Jackson wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Patrick Dempsey wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Valli Geiger: Maine county clerks or boards of elections certify the general election winner by November 3, 2026, 3 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Valli Geiger wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMESENATEPERSON-26-BBRY",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
      "description": "Brian Bryant",
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.59739,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T7WWLKNV07",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NWX1714TQ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMESENATEPERSON-26-JGOL",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election?",
      "description": "Jared Golden",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jared Golden: Maine county clerks or boards of elections certify the general election winner by November 3, 2026, 3 p.m. ET, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-07-07T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jared Golden wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The Source Agencies are",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 52.67879,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NWX1714TQ5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}