{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TMQV3GL3H5",
  "slug": "kxmetaa-28janhead",
  "question": "Meta Platforms, Inc. report Headcount in 2026",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      71000,
      74000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 65000,
        "prob": 93
      },
      {
        "threshold": 68000,
        "prob": 88
      },
      {
        "threshold": 71000,
        "prob": 70
      },
      {
        "threshold": 74000,
        "prob": 34
      },
      {
        "threshold": 77000,
        "prob": 16
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "meta",
    "headcount",
    "labor-metrics",
    "tech-employment",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Meta Platforms' full-year 2026 reported headcount against five discrete thresholds: 65,000, 68,000, 71,000, 74,000, and 77,000 employees. Each contract is a binary strike, allowing traders to construct an implied probability distribution across headcount levels. The five thresholds function as a ladder, with each successive contract pricing progressively tighter odds. Kalshi staff determination resolves all contracts on March 31, 2028, using headcount as published by Fiscal.ai.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G95ZG502S3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.43,
    "implied_probability": 0.43
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P41XKPN6M7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TMQV3GL3H5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-65000",
      "question": "Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 65000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 65000: The listed company's reported headcount as published by Fiscal.ai resolves on March 31, 2028 at 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 65000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Meta Platforms, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12642.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 65000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8C9B243F86",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "employment",
        "headcount",
        "meta",
        "meta platforms headcount"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VTL67QP308",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TMQV3GL3H5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-68000",
      "question": "Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 68000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 68000: The listed company's reported headcount as published by Fiscal.ai resolves on March 31, 2028 at 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 68000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Meta Platforms, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7184.2936,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 68000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1DD68DE59E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "employment",
        "headcount",
        "meta",
        "meta platforms headcount"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D7D9QF8XT6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TMQV3GL3H5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-71000",
      "question": "Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 71000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 71000: The listed company's reported headcount as published by Fiscal.ai resolves on March 31, 2028 at 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 71000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Meta Platforms, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.7,
      "implied_probability": 0.7,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7567.846999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 71000,
      "question_id": "CMX-25AC872175",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "employment",
        "headcount",
        "meta",
        "meta platforms headcount"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G95ZG502S3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TMQV3GL3H5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-74000",
      "question": "Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 74000 Headcount in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 74000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 74000: The listed company's reported headcount as published by Fiscal.ai resolves on March 31, 2028 at 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 74000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Meta Platforms, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 764.5013,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 74000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ADFFA1268D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "employment",
        "headcount",
        "meta",
        "meta platforms headcount"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TMQV3GL3H5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMETAA-28JANHEAD-77000",
      "question": "Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 77000 Headcount in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 77000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 77000: The listed company's reported headcount as published by Fiscal.ai resolves on March 31, 2028 at 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Meta Platforms, Inc. reports above 77000 Headcount in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market refers to the annual figure reported in Meta Platforms, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "volume_total_usd": 2347.7419999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 77000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1A280D8505",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "employment",
        "headcount",
        "meta",
        "meta platforms headcount"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TMQV3GL3H5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}