{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CYX84N0L20",
  "slug": "kxmi13d-26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee for Michigan's 13th congressional district be decided by the 2026 general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "michigan-13",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026-midterms",
    "nominee-selection",
    "us-house"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary nominee for Michigan's 13th Congressional District, resolving November 3, 2026. Each contract isolates one candidate: Thanedar, McKinney, Hassan, Campbell, or Carbonaro. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination. Probabilities across contracts should sum near 100% plus a field option.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XT1FYL8FV1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.69
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CYX84N0L20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMI13D-26-STHA",
      "question": "Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic nominee for MI-13?",
      "description": "Shri Thanedar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Shri Thanedar: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Shri Thanedar wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-13 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 234.05,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XT1FYL8FV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CYX84N0L20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMI13D-26-DMCK",
      "question": "Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic nominee for MI-13?",
      "description": "Donavan McKinney",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Donavan McKinney: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donavan McKinney wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-13 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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      "last_price": 0.69,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CYX84N0L20",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMI13D-26-NHAS",
      "question": "Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic nominee for MI-13?",
      "description": "Nazmul Hassan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nazmul Hassan: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Nazmul Hassan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-13 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CYX84N0L20",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMI13D-26-SCAM",
      "question": "Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic nominee for MI-13?",
      "description": "Shelby Campbell",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Shelby Campbell: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Shelby Campbell wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-13 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMI13D-26-ACAR",
      "question": "Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic nominee for MI-13?",
      "description": "Anthony Carbonaro",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Anthony Carbonaro: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced district, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Anthony Carbonaro wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-13 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-CYX84N0L20",
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}