{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
  "slug": "kxmidtermmov-ma07d",
  "question": "Will the Massachusetts 7th District margin of victory be decided by less than 5 percentage points in the next election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "massachusetts-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "margin-of-victory",
    "congressional-races"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic margin of victory in the 2027 Massachusetts 7th District U.S. House election. Kalshi structures the event as a strip of threshold contracts, each asking whether the margin exceeds a discrete strike: 55, 58, 61, 64, 67, 70, 73, 76, and 79 percentage points. This ladder format lets traders express a continuous view on margin magnitude rather than a binary outcome call. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against certified results from the official state election authority.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4X810KW2B7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.94,
    "implied_probability": 0.94
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FNJLGKW7B2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P55",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 55+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 55+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 55 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 55,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3MD3JRK081",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P58",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 58+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 58+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 58 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.906,
      "implied_probability": 0.906,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 58,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8QMZ47LYL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P61",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 61 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 61+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 61+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 61 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.925,
      "implied_probability": 0.925,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 471.75,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 61,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-75YBGSXTF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P64",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 64+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 64+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 64 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 627.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 64,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4X810KW2B7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P67",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 67 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 67+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 67+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 67 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.94,
      "implied_probability": 0.94,
      "volume_24h_usd": 192.7,
      "volume_total_usd": 1424.1,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 67,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QQ3VYL8DD2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P70",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 70 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 70+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 70+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 70 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 280.6,
      "volume_total_usd": 1021.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 70,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M4QXTYR6B6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P73",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 73 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 73+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 73+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 73 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": 696.6,
      "volume_total_usd": 1216.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 73,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-88B1QL9YB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P76",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 76 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 76+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 76+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 76 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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        "score": 80,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.82,
      "implied_probability": 0.82,
      "volume_24h_usd": 824.0999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 2062.2999999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 76,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ML5CL4GPN0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIDTERMMOV-MA07D-P79",
      "question": "Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 7th District House election be at least 79 percentage points?",
      "description": "Democrats, 79+ pts",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats, 79+ pts: Official election authority certifying results in the referenced geography reports the margin of victory for the named candidate's party on or before November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 7th District by 79 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.\n\nIf the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography>",
            "url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.78,
      "implied_probability": 0.78,
      "volume_24h_usd": 783.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 2380.56,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 79,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "margin",
        "massachusetts",
        "massachusetts 7th district",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZC5QN439X2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}