{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-B6ZSBZZD57",
  "slug": "kxmiprimary-02d26",
  "question": "Will a Democratic nominee be selected for MI-02 by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
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  "tags": [
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    "democratic-primary",
    "us-house",
    "nominee-selection"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic nominee for Michigan's 2nd Congressional District. Each binary contract prices one candidate's probability of winning the party nomination. All three resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the Democratic Party's official nominee declaration. Kalshi structures the race as parallel candidate-specific contracts rather than a single multi-outcome market.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-05HCRYVYF1",
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    "implied_probability": 0.73
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMIPRIMARY-02D26-BAMB",
      "question": "Will Ben Ambrose be the Democratic nominee for MI-02?",
      "description": "Ben Ambrose",
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      "underlying_reference": "Ben Ambrose: The Democratic Party's official nominee for the referenced House seat resolves on Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIPRIMARY-02D26-JHIL",
      "question": "Will Jamie Hill be the Democratic nominee for MI-02?",
      "description": "Jamie Hill",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jamie Hill: The Democratic Party's official nominee for the referenced House seat resolves on Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jamie Hill wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will Clyde Welford be the Democratic nominee for MI-02?",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-B6ZSBZZD57",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}