{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MLQL8ZT2N2",
  "slug": "kxmiprimary-12d26",
  "question": "Will a Democrat win the Michigan's 12th congressional district in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "us-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "michigan-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "congressional-race"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary outcome for Michigan's 12th Congressional District, resolving November 3, 2026. Each contract prices one named candidate's probability of winning the nomination. All three resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the same binary outcome. No cross-platform structural contrast is present; all markets share identical mechanism and format.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y5RD6DX6S5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.96
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MLQL8ZT2N2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIPRIMARY-12D26-SJAC",
      "question": "Will Shanelle Jackson be the Democratic nominee for MI-12?",
      "description": "Shanelle Jackson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Shanelle Jackson: Kalshi staff determination on whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Shanelle Jackson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "caps": [],
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      "volume_total_usd": 53.28,
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      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HBP08B31S2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MLQL8ZT2N2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIPRIMARY-12D26-BNOL",
      "question": "Will Byron Nolen be the Democratic nominee for MI-12?",
      "description": "Byron Nolen",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Byron Nolen: Kalshi staff determination on whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Byron Nolen wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MLQL8ZT2N2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMIPRIMARY-12D26-RTLA",
      "question": "Will Rashida Tlaib be the Democratic nominee for MI-12?",
      "description": "Rashida Tlaib",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rashida Tlaib: Kalshi staff determination on whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for the referenced office, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Rashida Tlaib wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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      "also_on": null,
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-MLQL8ZT2N2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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