{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3C5B1QX9N9",
  "slug": "kxmisenate-26",
  "question": "Will a specific person win the Michigan Senate election by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-senate-2026",
    "michigan-politics",
    "electoral-outcome",
    "binary-person",
    "political-election"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race. Kalshi lists four candidate-specific binary contracts: Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, Haley Stevens, and Mike Rogers. All four resolve via Kalshi staff determination upon official certification by Michigan county clerks or boards of elections. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1GH7691N14",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.54,
    "implied_probability": 0.54
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3C5B1QX9N9",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMISENATE-26-AELS",
      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?",
      "description": "Abdul El-Sayed",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Abdul El-Sayed: County clerks or boards of elections certify the named candidate's victory in the referenced 2026 election, reported by Kalshi staff by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe listed candidate must win the election as the nominee of the listed party. If the candidate fails to secure the nomination, this market resolves to No immediately. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "volume_24h_usd": 220.82760000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 45720.8442,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?",
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      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?",
      "description": "Haley Stevens",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Haley Stevens: County clerks or boards of elections certify the named candidate's victory in the referenced 2026 election, reported by Kalshi staff by November 3, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?",
      "description": "Mike Rogers",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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}