{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5BB4SFW2V1",
  "slug": "kxmisengovcombo-26nov",
  "question": "Will Michigan elect a governor and senator from the same party in the next election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "michigan-politics",
    "2026-elections",
    "governor-senate-combo",
    "party-control",
    "us-midwestern-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks the joint outcome of Michigan's 2027 gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races. All four markets are Kalshi-native, covering each partisan combination: Democratic sweep, Republican sweep, and both split-ticket configurations. The four contracts sum to one, functioning as a discrete joint probability distribution over party control. Kalshi staff determination resolves each leg based on certified election results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GF6L9ND8B0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.72,
    "implied_probability": 0.72
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GF6L9ND8B0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5BB4SFW2V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM",
      "question": "Will Michigan Governor winner be Democratic party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party?",
      "description": "Democrats sweep",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democrats sweep: Kalshi staff determines whether both the named gubernatorial and senatorial candidates from the specified state won their respective 2026 general elections by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Democratic party, Michigan Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Michigan Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Michigan Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.72,
      "implied_probability": 0.72,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5525.352,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "democrats",
        "governor",
        "michigan",
        "michigan governor and",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W0YZLX1HN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5BB4SFW2V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMREP",
      "question": "Will Michigan Governor winner be Democratic party and Michigan Senate winner be Republican party?",
      "description": "Democratic Governor, Republican Senator",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic Governor, Republican Senator: Kalshi staff determines whether both the named gubernatorial and senatorial candidates from the specified state won their respective 2026 general elections by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Democratic party, Michigan Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Michigan Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Michigan Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 242.43570000000003,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "governor",
        "michigan",
        "michigan governor and",
        "senate",
        "split"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G4XJ4RX4V7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5BB4SFW2V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM",
      "question": "Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Democratic party?",
      "description": "Republican Governor, Democratic Senator",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican Governor, Democratic Senator: Kalshi staff determines whether both the named gubernatorial and senatorial candidates from the specified state won their respective 2026 general elections by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Republican party, Michigan Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Michigan Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Michigan Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 168.02009999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "governor",
        "michigan",
        "michigan governor and",
        "senate",
        "split"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6J5742HCW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5BB4SFW2V1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMISENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP",
      "question": "Will Michigan Governor winner be Republican party and Michigan Senate winner be Republican party?",
      "description": "Republicans sweep",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republicans sweep: Kalshi staff determines whether both the named gubernatorial and senatorial candidates from the specified state won their respective 2026 general elections by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Michigan Governor winner: Republican party, Michigan Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Michigan Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Michigan Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1169.8880000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "governor",
        "michigan",
        "michigan governor and",
        "republicans",
        "senate"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5BB4SFW2V1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}