{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FX6JV0975",
  "slug": "kxmo01d-26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st congressional district be determined by November 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-elections-2026",
    "democratic-primary",
    "missouri-politics",
    "house-race",
    "nominee-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary outcome for Missouri's 1st Congressional District. Both are binary Kalshi contracts on competing candidates: one prices Bell's nomination probability, the other prices Bush's. Together they function as an implied head-to-head primary probability split. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination against official Democratic Party nominee designation, closing November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RWT0NR33M3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.72,
    "implied_probability": 0.72,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RWT0NR33M3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FX6JV0975",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMO01D-26-WBEL",
      "question": "Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?",
      "description": "Wesley Bell",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Wesley Bell: Official Democratic Party nominee designation for the referenced U.S. House seat resolves by Kalshi staff determination using authoritative party sources, deadline November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Wesley Bell wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.72,
      "implied_probability": 0.72,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 56548.44,
      "volume_total_usd": 276773.6,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "democratic primary",
        "missouri",
        "mo-01",
        "wesley bell"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1HW3Y1HF82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0FX6JV0975",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMO01D-26-CBUS",
      "question": "Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?",
      "description": "Cori Bush",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Cori Bush: Official Democratic Party nominee designation for the referenced U.S. House seat resolves by Kalshi staff determination using authoritative party sources, deadline November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Cori Bush wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 26371.84,
      "volume_total_usd": 173186.59,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "cori bush",
        "democratic primary",
        "missouri",
        "mo-01"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0FX6JV0975",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}