{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CM6307CNZ7",
  "slug": "kxmodelhigh-27-1550",
  "question": "Which AI will be the first to achieve a score of 1550 on Text Arena?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
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  "tags": [
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    "ai-benchmarking",
    "text-arena",
    "llm-performance",
    "ai-capabilities",
    "2027"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which AI model will first reach 1550 on the LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) by January 2027. Kalshi structures the event as eight parallel binary contracts, one per named model plus an \"Other\" catch-all. Each contract resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination against the LM Arena Leaderboard. Only one contract can resolve yes; the others resolve no by construction.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FPS36TZT18",
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    "implied_probability": 0.15
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3NJHMT8YT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CM6307CNZ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-QWEN",
      "question": "Will Qwen be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?",
      "description": "Qwen",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Qwen: LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) determines whether the listed model reaches 1550 points first by January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KZ3W32NX11",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-GEMI",
      "question": "Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?",
      "description": "Gemini",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Gemini: LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) determines whether the listed model reaches 1550 points first by January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CHAT",
      "question": "Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?",
      "description": "ChatGPT",
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      "underlying_reference": "ChatGPT: LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) determines whether the listed model reaches 1550 points first by January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. UTC.",
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        "rules_raw": "If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CM6307CNZ7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CLAU",
      "question": "Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?",
      "description": "Claude",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Claude: LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) determines whether the listed model reaches 1550 points first by January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. UTC.",
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        "rules_raw": "If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-GROK",
      "question": "Will Grok be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?",
      "description": "Grok",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Grok: LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) determines whether the listed model reaches 1550 points first by January 1, 2027 at 3 p.m. UTC.",
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        "rules_raw": "If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will Kimi be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?",
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      "question": "Will Ernie be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMODELHIGH-27-1550-OTHE",
      "question": "Will Other be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?",
      "description": "Other",
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