{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8TBP2F137",
  "slug": "kxmoprimary-03r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Missouri's 3rd congressional district be determined by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
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  "tags": [
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    "us-elections-2027",
    "missouri-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "house-race",
    "nominee-selection"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary nominee for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District. Both markets are binary Kalshi contracts, each pricing the nomination probability of a specific candidate: John G. Fraser or Bob Onder. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination against the Republican Party's official nominee designation. Both markets resolve November 3, 2026.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-J5BX1TDXZ5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.98
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SSWSY8KDB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8TBP2F137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-03R26-JFRA",
      "question": "Will John G Fraser be the Republican nominee for MO-03?",
      "description": "John G Fraser",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John G Fraser: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the referenced office, confirmed by Kalshi staff review of party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John G Fraser wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.07,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 497.0896,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8TBP2F137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-03R26-BOND",
      "question": "Will Bob Onder be the Republican nominee for MO-03?",
      "description": "Bob Onder",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bob Onder: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the referenced office, confirmed by Kalshi staff review of party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bob Onder wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-03 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-G8TBP2F137",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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