{
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVG8N708C1",
  "slug": "kxmoprimary-05r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Missouri's 5th congressional district be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
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  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2027-election",
    "republican-primary",
    "us-house",
    "missouri-politics",
    "nominee-selection"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary nominee for Missouri's 5th Congressional District. Six candidate-specific binary contracts on Kalshi cover Brad Patty, Brett Hueffmeier, Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, Berton A Knox, and Micah Beebe. All six resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the Republican Party's official nominee announcement. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JG7ZRQS321",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.77
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVG8N708C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-05R26-BPAT",
      "question": "Will Brad Patty be the Republican nominee for MO-05?",
      "description": "Brad Patty",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brad Patty: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced U.S. House seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brad Patty wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "volume_total_usd": 4.24,
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      "tags": [
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        "missouri",
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        "republican"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-97SCRDVKF2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVG8N708C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-05R26-BHUE",
      "question": "Will Brett Hueffmeier be the Republican nominee for MO-05?",
      "description": "Brett Hueffmeier",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brett Hueffmeier: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced U.S. House seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brett Hueffmeier wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-05R26-TBUR",
      "question": "Will Taylor Burks be the Republican nominee for MO-05?",
      "description": "Taylor Burks",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Taylor Burks: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced U.S. House seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "last_price": 0.21,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 113.22569999999999,
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      "tags": [
        "missouri",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JG7ZRQS321",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVG8N708C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-05R26-RBRA",
      "question": "Will Rick Brattin be the Republican nominee for MO-05?",
      "description": "Rick Brattin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rick Brattin: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced U.S. House seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rick Brattin wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WVG8N708C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-05R26-BKNO",
      "question": "Will Berton A Knox be the Republican nominee for MO-05?",
      "description": "Berton A Knox",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Berton A Knox: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced U.S. House seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Berton A Knox wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "question": "Will Micah Beebe be the Republican nominee for MO-05?",
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