{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QJQ54Z4BP4",
  "slug": "kxmoprimary-08r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Missouri's 8th congressional district be decided by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2027-us-election",
    "missouri-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "house-race",
    "nominee-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee contest for Missouri's 8th Congressional District. Both are binary Kalshi contracts on named candidates; each asks whether a specific individual secures the nomination. The two markets are structurally parallel, pricing mutually exclusive outcomes for the same seat. Kalshi staff determination resolves both, referencing Republican Party official nomination records.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QX69WK3WH4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.98,
    "implied_probability": 0.98
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QX69WK3WH4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QJQ54Z4BP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-08R26-JSMI",
      "question": "Will Jason T Smith be the Republican nominee for MO-08?",
      "description": "Jason T Smith",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jason T Smith: Republican Party official nomination records resolve whether the named candidate is the Republican nominee for the referenced district by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jason T Smith wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6966.0164,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "jason smith",
        "missouri",
        "mo-08",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-514ZQ0MTH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QJQ54Z4BP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMOPRIMARY-08R26-GHES",
      "question": "Will Gordon Heslop be the Republican nominee for MO-08?",
      "description": "Gordon Heslop",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gordon Heslop: Republican Party official nomination records resolve whether the named candidate is the Republican nominee for the referenced district by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Gordon Heslop wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 MO-08 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 568.1392,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gordon heslop",
        "missouri",
        "mo-08",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QJQ54Z4BP4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}