{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
  "slug": "kxmusknw-26dec31",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth exceed $200 billion on December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "elon-musk",
    "net-worth",
    "wealth-measurement",
    "2026",
    "billionaire-economics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Elon Musk's net worth as of December 31, 2026, resolved by January 7, 2027. Kalshi structures the event as a laddered series of binary strikes from $500 billion to $2.4 trillion, each settled by Kalshi staff determination against publicly available wealth estimates. The strike ladder implies a market-derived probability distribution over net worth outcomes, allowing readers to extract an implied wealth range. Net worth estimates rely on public valuations of private holdings, introducing material model uncertainty at resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NQXF6L9XH9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.42,
    "implied_probability": 0.42
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SRRV2HY4X4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T500",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?",
      "description": "Above $500 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $500 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $500 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500,
      "question_id": "CMX-B8FCBACD8E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W6GPM74974",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T600",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?",
      "description": "Above $600 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $600 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $600 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 600,
      "question_id": "CMX-6F0EDDEB34",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YR0WW18QQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T700",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?",
      "description": "Above $700 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $700 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $700 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 700,
      "question_id": "CMX-0EA40FF4FD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NQXF6L9XH9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T800",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $800 billion?",
      "description": "Above $800 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $800 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $800 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.738,
      "volume_total_usd": 2162.4665999999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800,
      "question_id": "CMX-3F23CA92AA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GM7ZRXP0M1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T900",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $900 billion?",
      "description": "Above $900 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $900 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $900 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 29.257,
      "volume_total_usd": 1367.6194,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 900,
      "question_id": "CMX-345C7E441C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CDB6TNYMY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1000",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.0 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.0 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.0 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.0 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13.86,
      "volume_total_usd": 245.4459,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D6292DD7C1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DJYHBK8VK0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1100",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.1 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.1 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.1 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.1 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 598.1976,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1100,
      "question_id": "CMX-4BCBFE0C0C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DBZYFJHRJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1200",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.2 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.2 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.2 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.2 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 244.06380000000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1200,
      "question_id": "CMX-E556F96317",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9N018KYWD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1300",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.3 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.3 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.3 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.3 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.26,
      "implied_probability": 0.26,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 123.5832,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1300,
      "question_id": "CMX-C3F3F61CCF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVPTYSTSJ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1400",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.4 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.4 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.4 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.4 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 76.6194,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1400,
      "question_id": "CMX-09F5A8D15E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TMH4XSLR17",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1500",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.5 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.5 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.5 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.5 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 96.48599999999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500,
      "question_id": "CMX-72060D803D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SGPW31ZXH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1600",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.6 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.6 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.6 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.6 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 172.1056,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1600,
      "question_id": "CMX-E672DDD76D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SHH2KFFC99",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1700",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.7 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.7 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.7 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.7 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 221.8575,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1700,
      "question_id": "CMX-A0F51E2E8C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-37XDST4JQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1800",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.8 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.8 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.8 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.8 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 388.141,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1800,
      "question_id": "CMX-DCDF6B8E9A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TXBPZG6TQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T1900",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $1.9 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.9 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.9 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $1.9 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 78,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 472.80080000000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1900,
      "question_id": "CMX-961FD1B9BD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X131L24KN4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2000",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $2.0 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $2.0 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.0 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $2.0 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 485.80379999999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5887B94173",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VHLWVJRNX9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2100",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $2.1 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $2.1 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.1 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $2.1 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
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      "volume_total_usd": 5.57,
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      "threshold": 2100,
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      "also_on": null,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KK3MH90D02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2200",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $2.2 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $2.2 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.2 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $2.2 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
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      "volume_total_usd": 70.92,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0JRDBDF5X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2300",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $2.3 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $2.3 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.3 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $2.3 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
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      "volume_total_usd": 63.592200000000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2300,
      "question_id": "CMX-6E6FA0A432",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9Q24X1MVT6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2400",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $2.4 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $2.4 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.4 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $2.4 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 255.42560000000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2400,
      "question_id": "CMX-4022187731",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "elon-musk",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W04J4CRMR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26DEC31-T2500",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 be above $2.5 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $2.5 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.5 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth on December 31, 2026, based on publicly available financial data by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T23:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $2.5 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026.\n\nThe relevant value is the dollar-denominated net worth shown by Forbes at that time, regardless of any later updates, corrections, or revisions.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page",
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 19.9699,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2500,
      "question_id": "CMX-4F87666D30",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "elon-musk",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C6NH2LNYZ1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}