{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
  "slug": "kxmusknw-26jul31",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth exceed $250 billion on July 31 according to Bloomberg?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "elon-musk",
    "net-worth",
    "bloomberg",
    "2026",
    "wealth-tracking"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Elon Musk's net worth as reported by Bloomberg on July 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds spanning $700 billion to $1.70 trillion, each resolved independently by Kalshi staff determination. The implied net worth distribution is readable by comparing probabilities across adjacent strikes. Bloomberg Billionaires Index is the authoritative data source; Kalshi staff determination applies that figure to each threshold.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RNN4890T21",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.67,
    "implied_probability": 0.67
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RNN4890T21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T700",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $700 billion?",
      "description": "Above $700 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $700 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $700 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 62,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.67,
      "implied_probability": 0.67,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4685.2698,
      "volume_total_usd": 18056.707700000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 700,
      "question_id": "CMX-521742476B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bloomberg",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7SSKMDVGY2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T750",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $750 billion?",
      "description": "Above $750 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $750 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $750 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
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          {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 407.0304,
      "volume_total_usd": 4301.2992,
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      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 750,
      "question_id": "CMX-B91A960C9A",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G1M441J469",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T800",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $800 billion?",
      "description": "Above $800 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $800 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $800 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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          {
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 542.5680000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 3961.8480000000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800,
      "question_id": "CMX-4230CB2D9D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bloomberg",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z2CW5ZF930",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T850",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $850 billion?",
      "description": "Above $850 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $850 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $850 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 57.220000000000006,
      "volume_total_usd": 655.7825,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 850,
      "question_id": "CMX-779759EE73",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3M5VR2TWK7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T900",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $900 billion?",
      "description": "Above $900 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $900 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $900 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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          {
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      "last_price": 0.04,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 3.0008,
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      "threshold": 900,
      "question_id": "CMX-AF8BAA3663",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YHV9LS6C19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T950",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $950 billion?",
      "description": "Above $950 billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $950 billion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $950 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
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      "last_price": 0.03,
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 950,
      "question_id": "CMX-BBDE263926",
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      "tags": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DLHLXNDD50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1000",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $1.00 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.00 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.00 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.00 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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      "last_price": 0.02,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 2.529,
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DB3CB634C7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-82JMTZ0BP1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1050",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $1.05 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.05 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.05 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.05 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 78.6845,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1050,
      "question_id": "CMX-862C250A1D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C26W5RZN59",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKNW-26JUL31-T1100",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $1.10 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.10 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.10 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth for July be above $1.70 trillion?",
      "description": "Above $1.70 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.70 trillion: Kalshi staff determination of the named individual's net worth in July 2026, resolved by August 8, 2026, using publicly available financial data sources.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T22:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T00:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk's net worth is above $1.70 trillion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 62,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.330000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1700,
      "question_id": "CMX-32198C477D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bloomberg",
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}