{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
  "slug": "kxmuskwealth-27",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth increase before 2027?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "elon-musk",
    "net-worth",
    "wealth-accumulation",
    "2026",
    "billionaire-economics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These nine Kalshi markets track whether Elon Musk's net worth exceeds discrete thresholds, from $900 billion to $2 trillion, before January 1, 2027. The markets form a strike ladder: each higher tier implies lower probability, structuring wealth exposure across nine binary levels. All nine resolve via Kalshi staff determination, referencing the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list as the authoritative source. A key caveat is that Forbes valuations are estimates; equity price volatility in Tesla and SpaceX can move readings materially between observation dates.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K99FPQWGH7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M3Z8711LD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-900",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 900 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than $900 Billion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than $900 Billion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T14:10:01Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $900 billion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Forbes",
            "url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Forbes",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16171.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 130243.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-345C7E441C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk",
        "elon musk net",
        "net worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K99FPQWGH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1000",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 1000 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than $1 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than $1 trillion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Forbes",
            "url": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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        "source_of_record": "Forbes",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": "CMX-D6292DD7C1",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DXGNPB1S66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1100",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 1100 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than  $1.1 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than  $1.1 trillion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1.1 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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            "name": "Forbes",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
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      "question_id": "CMX-4BCBFE0C0C",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-21K97DFV96",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1200",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 1200 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than  $1.2 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than  $1.2 trillion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1.2 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
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      "question_id": "CMX-E556F96317",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KVBCQPYNT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1300",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 1300 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than $1.3 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than $1.3 trillion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1.3 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Forbes",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c1a6b23d78",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.96,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6TMT3GCDG9",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1400",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than $1.4 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than $1.4 trillion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.22,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KSW4NX49D5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1600",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 1600 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than $1.6 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than $1.6 trillion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1.6 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Forbes",
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      "last_price": 0.16,
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      "question_id": "CMX-E672DDD76D",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2NCWPCH6J9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-86RKRXH381",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-1800",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 1800 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than $1.8 trillion",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than $1.8 trillion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $1.8 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXMUSKWEALTH-27-2000",
      "question": "Will Musk have a net worth more than 2000 billion dollars before 2027?",
      "description": "More than $2 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "More than $2 trillion: Forbes Real Time Billionaires list determines whether the named individual's net worth exceeds one trillion dollars as of January 1, 2027, 15:00 UTC, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk has a net worth more than $2 trillion dollars before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}