{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TN6GYRL9M3",
  "slug": "kxnamedstorm-26dec01cpactot",
  "question": "Central Pacific named storms, 2026",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      4,
      5
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 90
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 82
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5,
        "prob": 30
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6,
        "prob": 14
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      {
        "threshold": 7,
        "prob": 10
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    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "central-pacific",
    "tropical-cyclones",
    "weather-forecasting",
    "2026",
    "meteorology"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the total count of Central Pacific named storms in the 2026 hurricane season. Kalshi structures the event as six discrete strike thresholds, from above 2 through above 7, letting traders isolate probability at each count level. Together, the strikes form an implied distribution over seasonal storm totals. NOAA's Central Pacific Hurricane Center provides the authoritative count, resolved via Kalshi staff determination on December 8, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PQN518VWW7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.3
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Will there be more than 2 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Central Pacific hurricane season count as of December 8, 2026 determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If more than 2 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.97,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "KXNAMEDSTORM-26DEC01CPACTOT-3",
      "question": "Will there be more than 3 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-12-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If more than 3 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "Will there be more than 4 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "If more than 4 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PQN518VWW7",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXNAMEDSTORM-26DEC01CPACTOT-5",
      "question": "Will there be more than 5 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Central Pacific hurricane season count as of December 8, 2026 determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If more than 5 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TN6GYRL9M3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNAMEDSTORM-26DEC01CPACTOT-6",
      "question": "Will there be more than 6 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 6",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 6: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Central Pacific hurricane season count as of December 8, 2026 determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If more than 6 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXNAMEDSTORM-26DEC01CPACTOT-7",
      "question": "Will there be more than 7 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-TN6GYRL9M3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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