{ "_notice": { "type": "free_key_offer", "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.", "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/", "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change." }, "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "slug": "kxnasdaq100maxy-26dec31h1600", "question": "What will be the highest price reached by the Nasdaq-100 in 2026?", "category": "financials", "event_type": "BINARY", "ladder_distribution": null, "tags": [ "financials", "nasdaq-100", "equity-index", "price-level", "2026", "financial-markets" ], "catalyst_types": [], "catalyst_dates": [], "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above discrete price thresholds before December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds, each resolved independently by Kalshi staff determination against the index's 4pm EST closing print. The spread across thresholds from 26,200 to higher levels implies an implied distribution of the index's peak closing level through year-end. The authoritative index level is published by Nasdaq, Inc., and Kalshi staff determination governs each contract's settlement.", "venues_covered": [ "kalshi" ], "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4XZ4WKCP46", "current_primary_mark": { "last_price": 0.998, "implied_probability": 0.998 }, "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00", "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00", "markets": [ { "market_id": "CM-MKT-72YVH3Y1G6", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T26199.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26199.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "26,200 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "26,200 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-04-28T20:08:17Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 26199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.995, "implied_probability": 0.995, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 39993.45, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 26200, "question_id": "CMX-CF6808CA2C", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-HCF7YQ2WB6", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T26399.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26399.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "26,400 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "26,400 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-04-28T20:09:09Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 26399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.992, "implied_probability": 0.992, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 4639.58, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 26400, "question_id": "CMX-1E8EDABFE6", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-C7Y86ZV1H3", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T26599.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "26,600 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "26,600 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:07Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 26599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.991, "implied_probability": 0.991, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 5882.58, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 26600, "question_id": "CMX-0EBE17FD0A", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q3DL71WRS7", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T26799.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "26,800 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "26,800 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:43Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 26799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.99, "implied_probability": 0.99, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 1824.62, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 26800, "question_id": "CMX-DAC66133F5", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-1PJXZQ4PZ3", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T26999.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "27,000 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "27,000 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-04-28T20:11:09Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 26999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.969, "implied_probability": 0.969, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 1151.76, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 27000, "question_id": "CMX-7ED99D5B91", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-2D1P6GR638", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T27199.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27199.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "27,200 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "27,200 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-04-28T20:11:49Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 27199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.953, "implied_probability": 0.953, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 1082.61, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 27200, "question_id": "CMX-C8940214B4", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-LH8GF0L8Z4", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T27399.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27399.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "27,400 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "27,400 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-05T15:33:03Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 27399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.995, "implied_probability": 0.995, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 4938.58, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 27400, "question_id": "CMX-CC52AE957A", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-SDKDXLFJV6", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T27599.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "27,600 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "27,600 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-05T15:33:48Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 27599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.996, "implied_probability": 0.996, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 4240.91, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 27600, "question_id": "CMX-9ED4453148", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y57NZ0Q3L4", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T27799.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "27,800 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "27,800 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-05T15:34:14Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 27799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.95, "implied_probability": 0.95, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 7060.13, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 27800, "question_id": "CMX-079E6DB873", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-2J73Y9GVW3", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T27999.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "28,000 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "28,000 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-05T15:35:48Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 27999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.88, "implied_probability": 0.88, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 5639.74, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 28000, "question_id": "CMX-9550C0C1D0", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-8B2H1BJ4Y5", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T28199.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28199.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "28,200 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "28,200 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-15T00:04:18Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 28199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.999, "implied_probability": 0.999, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 13406.74, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 28200, "question_id": "CMX-E98D472C2B", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-LQMJL5QP45", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T28399.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28399.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "28,400 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "28,400 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-15T00:05:23Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 28399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.999, "implied_probability": 0.999, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 27194.78, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 28400, "question_id": "CMX-4E4BA4C729", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-JD2VYFD7G1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T28599.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "28,600 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "28,600 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-15T00:06:41Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 28599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.999, "implied_probability": 0.999, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 11825.16, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 28600, "question_id": "CMX-28C72FC088", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-2KYLLFWNW1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T28799.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "28,800 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "28,800 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-15T00:07:31Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 28799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.999, "implied_probability": 0.999, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 8268.95, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 28800, "question_id": "CMX-7686ACC015", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-VKCYD3ZHX1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T28999.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "29,000 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "29,000 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-15T00:12:40Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 28999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.999, "implied_probability": 0.999, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 27506.17, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 29000, "question_id": "CMX-1869B4A822", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-RHTQY9X5H1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T29499.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29499.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "29,500 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "29,500 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-05-15T00:13:35Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 29499.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.999, "implied_probability": 0.999, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 20063.06, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 29500, "question_id": "CMX-29963E1624", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-4XZ4WKCP46", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T29999.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "30,000 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "30,000 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-06-02T18:21:48Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 29999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.998, "implied_probability": 0.998, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 148759.5, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 30000, "question_id": "CMX-C4627304ED", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-8J73SJVJ28", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T30199.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30199.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "30,200 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "30,200 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-06-02T18:24:54Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 30199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.99, "implied_probability": 0.99, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 25.74, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 30200, "question_id": "CMX-D885767DC6", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-0865B7BFK6", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T30399.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30399.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "30,400 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "30,400 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-06-03T21:03:30Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "resolved", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 30399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.99, "implied_probability": 0.99, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 1069.98, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 30400, "question_id": "CMX-8B65AFC3AF", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-7JMWV02B74", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T30599.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "30,600 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "30,600 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 30599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.99, "implied_probability": 0.99, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 66120.79319999999, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 30600, "question_id": "CMX-D90D38D87B", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-GW05NXG176", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T30799.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "30,800 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "30,800 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 30799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.75, "implied_probability": 0.75, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 13592.5275, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 30800, "question_id": "CMX-58C1236CFF", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-6MDHFRG8P1", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T30999.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "31,000 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "31,000 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and || On/Before || Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 30999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.74, "implied_probability": 0.74, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 480.8964, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 31000, "question_id": "CMX-C2E0514505", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-WSWS3RK9V0", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T31199.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31199.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "31,200 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "31,200 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and || On/Before || Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 31199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.69, "implied_probability": 0.69, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 482.30999999999995, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 31200, "question_id": "CMX-5F9B3FD6D3", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-CTLQ9XJ1F3", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T31399.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31399.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "31,400 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "31,400 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and || On/Before || Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 31399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.7, "implied_probability": 0.7, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 206.5, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 31400, "question_id": "CMX-3E39478E94", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-2YJ9P7DHM0", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T31599.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31599.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "31,600 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "31,600 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and || On/Before || Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 31599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.69, "implied_probability": 0.69, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 48.989999999999995, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 31600, "question_id": "CMX-CBC6DEC8DD", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-78F1MWQB18", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T31799.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31799.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "31,800 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "31,800 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and || On/Before || Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 31799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.62, "implied_probability": 0.62, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 179.6574, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 31800, "question_id": "CMX-B44470DF3C", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-BT7ZKXKGS2", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T31999.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "32,000 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "32,000 or above: Kalshi staff determination of whether the Nasdaq-100 index closes at or above the specified threshold on or before December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST, using Google Finance data.", "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z", "status": "open", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and || On/Before || Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 31999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": "For example, Google Finance", "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": [ { "name": "For example, Google Finance", "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "provenance": "platform_api" } ], "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": null }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.4, "implied_probability": 0.4, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 8454.804, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 32000, "question_id": "CMX-C1CC28E526", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-57S0XG9RY9", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T25599.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "25,600 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) daily closing price as reported by NASDAQ on December 31, 2026.", "close_at": "2026-03-31T02:12:41Z", "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "status": "closed", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 25599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": "For example, Google Finance" }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.75, "implied_probability": 0.75, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 22944, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 25600, "question_id": "CMX-FA9D008E26", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-GMY957BTB8", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T25799.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "25,800 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) daily closing price as reported by NASDAQ on December 31, 2026.", "close_at": "2026-03-31T02:13:11Z", "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "status": "closed", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 25799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.", "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff", "proposer": "platform_staff", "source": null, "source_status": "no_committed_source", "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en", "sources": null, "source_of_record": null, "source_mechanism": null, "source_type": null, "source_quality": "loose", "source_commitment": "uncommitted", "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative", "source_hedge_text": "For example, Google Finance" }, "rcg": { "grade": "B", "score": 90, "caps": [ "uncommitted_illustrative" ], "applied_factors": 6 }, "last_price": 0.65, "implied_probability": 0.65, "volume_24h_usd": 0, "volume_total_usd": 7189.65, "settlement_style": "terminal", "direction": "above", "threshold": 25800, "question_id": "CMX-FBD7A4311F", "also_on": null, "tags": [ "nasdaq 100" ], "eligibility_screens": [ { "regime": "ciro-26-0076", "screen_version": "v1", "status": "eligible", "reasons": [], "bucket": "financial_indicators", "screened_at": "2026-06-12" } ] }, { "market_id": "CM-MKT-03BPY9LY43", "event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7", "platform": "kalshi", "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100MAXY-26DEC31H1600-T25999.99", "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?", "description": "26,000 or above", "contract_type": "binary", "settlement_currency": "USD", "underlying_reference": "Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) daily closing price as reported by NASDAQ on December 31, 2026.", "close_at": "2026-03-31T02:13:33Z", "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z", "status": "closed", "resolution": { "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 25999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. 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