{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTKS54W7T6",
  "slug": "kxnasdaq100pos-26dec31h1600",
  "question": "Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nasdaq-100",
    "equity-index",
    "annual-performance",
    "us-markets",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether the Nasdaq-100 closes above 25249.85 on December 31, 2026 at 4:00 PM EST. That strike level represents the index's approximate starting value for 2026, making a \"yes\" resolution equivalent to a positive annual return. Kalshi staff determination references the official closing level as published by Nasdaq. Only one platform is active here, so no cross-platform structural contrast applies.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NWX3RNYKL5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.779,
    "implied_probability": 0.779
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NWX3RNYKL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTKS54W7T6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNASDAQ100POS-26DEC31H1600-T25249.85",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "25,249.86 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nasdaq-100 closing level on December 31, 2026 at 4:00 PM EST as published by Nasdaq or major financial data providers.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 25249.85, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.779,
      "implied_probability": 0.779,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.79,
      "volume_total_usd": 87821.1882,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25250,
      "question_id": "CMX-AD43571F21",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "index",
        "nasdaq 100",
        "nasdaq-100"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DTKS54W7T6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}