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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FGMH0SRW94",
  "slug": "kxnberrecessq",
  "question": "Will the next US recession start by December 31, 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "us-recession",
    "macroeconomic-forecast",
    "economic-downturn",
    "nber-dating",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the official start date of the next U.S. recession across discrete quarterly tiers through Q1 2026. The National Bureau of Economic Research Business Cycle Dating Committee is the authoritative source for resolution. All six tiers are structured as binary outcomes resolved by Kalshi staff determination. Note that NBER dating announcements typically lag the actual recession start by several months, introducing timing risk between economic reality and settlement.",
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  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "description": "Q4 2024",
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