{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
  "slug": "kxndqdiry-26dec31h1600",
  "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nasdaq-100",
    "stock-index",
    "year-end-2026",
    "price-prediction",
    "financial-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Nasdaq-100 index level at the December 31, 2026 close, 4pm EST. Kalshi structures the event as 17 binary strike thresholds spanning 26,000 to 42,000; implied probabilities across strikes reconstruct a market-consensus distribution of the index level. The cross-platform insight is structural: all 17 markets price index level against discrete strike thresholds, not a single directional outcome or continuous range. Kalshi staff determination uses market data to confirm the official index level published by Nasdaq, Inc.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WXX7SSN0X6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.8,
    "implied_probability": 0.8
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WXX7SSN0X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T26000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "26,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "26,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 26000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2874.0560000000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 26000,
      "question_id": "CMX-50407E861A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "equity",
        "index",
        "nasdaq 100",
        "price-level"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-862GFS0131",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T27000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "27,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "27,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 27000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.66,
      "implied_probability": 0.66,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1885.0524,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 27000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E5AFBBC6D5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "equity",
        "index",
        "nasdaq 100",
        "price-level"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MW6G5FM9X0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T28000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "28,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "28,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 28000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3695.0683,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 28000,
      "question_id": "CMX-974C19B911",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "equity",
        "index",
        "nasdaq 100",
        "price-level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6PSTGLR405",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T29000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "29,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "29,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 29000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.73,
      "implied_probability": 0.73,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2454.9096999999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 29000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6ABFE1F463",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "equity",
        "index",
        "nasdaq 100",
        "price-level"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "bucket": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C947FXKJ38",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T30000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "30,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "30,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 30000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.66,
      "implied_probability": 0.66,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 247.5924,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 30000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C4627304ED",
      "also_on": null,
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        "index",
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        "price-level"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9PMB909CK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T31000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "31,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "31,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 31000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.36,
      "implied_probability": 0.36,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13.748399999999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 31000,
      "question_id": "CMX-46E1D945E5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "equity",
        "index",
        "nasdaq 100",
        "price-level"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FTJTFKX276",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T32000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 32000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "32,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "32,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 32000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.51,
      "implied_probability": 0.51,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 61.3938,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 32000,
      "question_id": "CMX-05A9F9ACC1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "equity",
        "index",
        "nasdaq 100",
        "price-level"
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    },
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T33000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "33,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "33,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 33000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.51,
      "implied_probability": 0.51,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4.08,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 33000,
      "question_id": "CMX-C81DB45247",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "equity",
        "index",
        "nasdaq 100",
        "price-level"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4Q32681N51",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GNKG1GYDT6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNDQDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T34000",
      "question": "Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 34000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "34,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "34,000 or above: Nasdaq-100 index level at December 31, 2026, 4pm EST, determined by Kalshi staff using market data sources, resolves January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T21:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 34000, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
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