{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8K40D1F7W9",
  "slug": "kxnetanyahupardon-26",
  "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "israel-politics",
    "legal-pardon",
    "netanyahu",
    "2026",
    "judicial-clemency"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Benjamin Netanyahu receives a formal pardon before two discrete deadlines: July 1, 2026 and November 1, 2026. Both are structured as binary outcomes resolved by Kalshi staff determination, but they differ in time horizon, creating an implicit term structure on pardon probability. The July contract prices near-term pardon risk; the November contract prices a broader window, making the spread between them a measure of conditional pardon probability across the intervening period. Resolution in both cases relies on Kalshi staff determination with no independent arbitration mechanism.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BF55K94P37",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.2
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6CYFXYL77",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8K40D1F7W9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNETANYAHUPARDON-26-JUL01",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jul 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jul 1, 2026: The named individual's receipt of a pardon by November 1, 2026 will be determined by Kalshi staff review of official Israeli government records and announcements by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-15T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": " San Francisco Unified School District",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sfusd.edu/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": " San Francisco Unified School District",
            "url": "https://www.sfusd.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.031,
      "implied_probability": 0.031,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1006.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8K40D1F7W9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNETANYAHUPARDON-26-NOV01",
      "question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned before Nov 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Nov 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Nov 1, 2026: The named individual's receipt of a pardon by November 1, 2026 will be determined by Kalshi staff review of official Israeli government records and announcements by November 15, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-15T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": " San Francisco Unified School District",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.sfusd.edu/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": " San Francisco Unified School District",
            "url": "https://www.sfusd.edu/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 4333.02,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "benjamin netanyahu pardon",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6CYFXYL77",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-07-15T14:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": 0.031,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8K40D1F7W9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}