{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMK4Q8HHX4",
  "slug": "kxnewrolex-27jan",
  "question": "Who will be the next CEO of X?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "ceo-succession",
    "corporate-leadership",
    "x-platform",
    "executive-appointment",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the identity of the next chief executive of X, the social media platform. Each Kalshi contract isolates a single named candidate as a binary outcome. Kalshi staff determination, sourced from Washington Post reporting, resolves each contract independently. All eight markets close January 1, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HVRNC61RN5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.12,
    "implied_probability": 0.12
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HVRNC61RN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMK4Q8HHX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-ELON",
      "question": "Who will be the next CEO of X?",
      "description": "Elon Musk",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Elon Musk: Kalshi staff determination based on The Washington Post reporting will resolve whether the named candidate becomes the next chief executive officer of the listed company by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Elon Musk is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nImportant information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from Elon Musk, would not satisfy the payout criterion. It must be a full-time CEO position.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TechCrunch",
            "url": "https://techcrunch.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wired",
            "url": "https://www.wired.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Athletic",
            "url": "https://theathletic.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "company/organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": " The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4693.0776000000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8058C58BD4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ceo",
        "elon musk",
        "x"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6GSH378YM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMK4Q8HHX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-JACK",
      "question": "Who will be the next CEO of X?",
      "description": "Jack Dorsey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jack Dorsey: Kalshi staff determination based on The Washington Post reporting will resolve whether the named candidate becomes the next chief executive officer of the listed company by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jack Dorsey is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nImportant information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from Elon Musk, would not satisfy the payout criterion. It must be a full-time CEO position.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TechCrunch",
            "url": "https://techcrunch.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wired",
            "url": "https://www.wired.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Athletic",
            "url": "https://theathletic.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "company/organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": " The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 33.4653,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8058C58BD4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ceo",
        "jack dorsey",
        "x"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JS0NDLFZ69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMK4Q8HHX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-GROK",
      "question": "Who will be the next CEO of X?",
      "description": "Grok",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Grok: Kalshi staff determination based on The Washington Post reporting will resolve whether the named candidate becomes the next chief executive officer of the listed company by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Grok is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nImportant information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from Elon Musk, would not satisfy the payout criterion. It must be a full-time CEO position.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ESPN",
            "url": "https://www.espn.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "TechCrunch",
            "url": "https://techcrunch.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Wired",
            "url": "https://www.wired.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Athletic",
            "url": "https://theathletic.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "company/organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Fox News",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "name": " The New York Times",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.04,
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      "volume_total_usd": 491.1596,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8058C58BD4",
      "also_on": null,
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        "ceo",
        "grok",
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        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YDPGRDSR97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMK4Q8HHX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-NIKI",
      "question": "Who will be the next CEO of X?",
      "description": "Nikita Bier",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nikita Bier: Kalshi staff determination based on The Washington Post reporting will resolve whether the named candidate becomes the next chief executive officer of the listed company by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nikita Bier is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nImportant information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from Elon Musk, would not satisfy the payout criterion. It must be a full-time CEO position.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Washington Post",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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            "name": "ESPN",
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          },
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            "url": "https://techcrunch.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
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            "name": "Wired",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
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            "name": "The Athletic",
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          {
            "name": "company/organization",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Reuters",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Axios",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": " The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CBS",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8058C58BD4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ceo",
        "nikita bier",
        "x"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8FPMMB86S8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JMK4Q8HHX4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNEWROLEX-27JAN-JIMM",
      "question": "Who will be the next CEO of X?",
      "description": "Jimmy Donaldson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jimmy Donaldson: Kalshi staff determination based on The Washington Post reporting will resolve whether the named candidate becomes the next chief executive officer of the listed company by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
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