{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TYWP5R6MH0",
  "slug": "kxnewtariffs-26aug",
  "question": "Will Trump order tariffs by August 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-tariffs",
    "executive-action",
    "trade-policy",
    "august-2026",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether President Trump issues any executive action imposing new or increased tariffs on any country during August 2026. Resolution depends on White House publication of executive orders within the calendar month. Kalshi staff determination governs settlement, referencing official White House records directly. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YQSX21RF02",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.79,
    "implied_probability": 0.79
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YQSX21RF02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TYWP5R6MH0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNEWTARIFFS-26AUG-SEP01",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Aug 2026?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The White House publishes executive orders and determines whether any issued during August 2026 impose new or increased tariffs with specified effective dates.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump has taken any executive action imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the President of the United States",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the White House",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.79,
      "implied_probability": 0.79,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1237.81,
      "volume_total_usd": 5792.41,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive action",
        "tariffs",
        "trade policy",
        "trump",
        "trump tariff executive"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TYWP5R6MH0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}