{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-99JZRM47M6",
  "slug": "kxnfprod-27mar04",
  "question": "Will U.S. nonfarm productivity year-over-year growth exceed 3% in any quarter of 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-economics",
    "productivity",
    "labor-markets",
    "quarterly-threshold",
    "2026-data"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether U.S. nonfarm productivity growth exceeds 3% year-over-year in any single quarter of 2026. The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes quarterly productivity data, which serves as the authoritative source for resolution. Kalshi staff determination governs settlement, with final resolution by June 2027 after all 2026 quarterly readings are available.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8BJRW0MR62",
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    "implied_probability": 0.45
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8BJRW0MR62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-99JZRM47M6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNFPROD-27MAR04-T3",
      "question": "Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?",
      "description": "Above 3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes U.S. nonfarm productivity year-over-year growth rates in its quarterly productivity reports through 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-02T15:30:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23209.704,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-CFC2CBFE83",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "nonfarm",
        "nonfarm productivity yoy",
        "productivity",
        "quarterly",
        "yoy"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-99JZRM47M6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}