{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G4F0V1WH55",
  "slug": "kxnhprimary-02r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for NH-02 be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "new-hampshire",
    "2027-election",
    "congressional-nominee"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nomination outcome for New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District. Both are Kalshi binary contracts asking whether a named candidate secures the GOP nomination, resolved by Kalshi staff determination on November 3, 2026. The two contracts are structurally parallel: each prices one candidate's nomination probability independently. Traders can hold offsetting positions across both contracts to express relative conviction.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V1N62T9LH2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.92,
    "implied_probability": 0.92
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V1N62T9LH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G4F0V1WH55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNHPRIMARY-02R26-LWIL",
      "question": "Will Lily Tang Williams be the Republican nominee for NH-02?",
      "description": "Lily Tang Williams",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lily Tang Williams: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced district resolves on November 3, 2026 by Kalshi staff determination using GOP.com records.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lily Tang Williams wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 NH-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7764.901200000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "lily tang williams",
        "nh-02",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6N6Z1RBR7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G4F0V1WH55",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXNHPRIMARY-02R26-VORL",
      "question": "Will Victor Orlando be the Republican nominee for NH-02?",
      "description": "Victor Orlando",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Victor Orlando: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced district resolves on November 3, 2026 by Kalshi staff determination using GOP.com records.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Victor Orlando wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 NH-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 582.6840000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "nh-02",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "victor orlando"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-G4F0V1WH55",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}